Home Builders Experiencing Heavy Foot Traffic And Higher Sales Volume

Home Builders have confidence. Do Home Buyers have confidence?
That's the question. Can we get enough confidence to go out and buy these homes.

Some leading economic surveys are improving. Mortgage rates are low.
Banks are loosening their purse strings. Are things in the housing market heating up, or are they just flat?  Give me the answers. I want to know.

In another good sign for the housing market, today's home builders believe that the housing market has turned a corner. Whatever corner they are on. (Winslow, Arizona - "What a sight to see")

For the third straight month, the Housing Market Index -- a home builder confidence survey from the National Association of Homebuilders -- reported strong monthly gains.

December's Housing Market Index climbed 2 points to 21 in December after a downward revision to last month's results. The index is now up seven points since September 2011, and sits at a 19-month high.

When home builder confidence reads 50 or better, it reflects favorable conditions in the single-family new home market. Readings below 50 reflect unfavorable conditions.

The Housing Market Index has not crossed 50 since April 2006.

The HMI itself is actually a composite reading; the result of three related home builder surveys. The National Association of Homebuilders asks its members about their current single-family home sales volume; their projected single-family home sales volume for the next 6 months; and their current buyer "foot traffic".
The results are compiled into the single Housing Market Index tally.

In December, builder survey responses showed strength across all 3 questions :

• Current Single-Family Sales : 22 (+2 from November)
• Projected Single-Family Sales : 26 (+1 from November)
• Buyer Foot Traffic : 18 (+3 from November)

These results support the recent New Home Sales and Housing Starts data, both of which show an increase in single-family sales, and a decrease in new home housing supply.

When demand rises and supplies fall, home prices climb.

It's also noteworthy that the Housing Market Index put buyer foot traffic at newly-built homes at its highest level since May 2008. With even more buyers expected to enter the market, new home prices are expected to rise across in 2012 -- especially in the face of shrinking home supplies.

For now, though, with home prices stable and mortgage rates low, buyers can grab "a deal". 60 days forward, though, may be too late. NOT!!!

The Spring Buying Season unofficially starts February 6, 2012.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Housing Starts Show Strength In Housing

Single-Family Housing Starts continue to undulate along the bottom. Since the fall of Leman Brothers we have maintained a 400,000 - 500,000 starts range.

More kids have moved back home to live with their parents. More families are renting. Do you get the picture? Poor economic activity continues to drive down the housing market. We will see new life as things improve.

The new construction housing market continues to show strength across the country.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Single-Family Housing Starts rose to 447,000 units on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis in November -- a 2 percent increase from October.

A "Housing Start" is defined as breaking ground on new home construction.

November's figures mark the third straight month of Single-Family Housing Starts gains. The new construction metric is now 15 percent above its all-time low, set in February of this year.

None of this should be a surprise to new home buyers in New York.  Our market is improving with a good outlook for the future years to come.

Housing data has been trending better since September with sales volumes rising and home inventories falling. Basic economics tells us that home prices should soon rise.

The good news is that low mortgage rates should keep homes affordable.

Since mid-November, the average, conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgage has hovered near 4.000% nationwide with an accompanying 0.7 discount points plus closing costs. 1 discount point equals one percent of your loan size. This is down from near 4.500% six months ago, and the drop has made a big impact on home affordability.

• June 2011 : $200,000 mortgage costs $1,013.37 per month
• December 2011 : $200,000 mortgage costs $954.83 per month

This represents $700 in savings per year. It's no wonder home builders report the highest buyer foot traffic in 3 years.

Meanwhile, the market shows little signs of slowing down. Building Permits are on the rise, too.

Permits for single-family homes rose to their highest levels of year in November and 89 percent of those homes will start construction within 60 days. This means that Single-Family Housing Starts should stay strong through the early part of 2012, and into the spring.

If you're planning to buy new construction in New York , therefore, talk to your real estate agent soon and consider moving up your time frame. With mortgage rates low and next year's buying season approaching, you may find that the best "deals" will come within the next few weeks.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

How To Keep Your Dishwasher Mold- and Mildew-Free

You just bought your first home. A fixer-upper at that. Now your contemplating all the things to fix. Start with some easy things first.

Your dishwasher is a breeding ground for mold and mildew. It's warm, it's dark, and there is a bevy of decaying, organic material in the form of both food particles and soap.

Therefore, you'll want to periodically scrub and disinfect your dishwasher so that it remains it clean and healthy, and so that your dishes stay that way, too.

Here's how to clean your dishwasher :

1. Remove all racks from the dishwasher. Wash with dish-washing detergent and set aside to dry. 
2. Mix 1 part vinegar with 4 parts very hot water into a spray bottle.
3. Spray the mixture on the dishwasher seal and anywhere else you see discoloration, mold or mildew.
4. Scrub the affected areas with a non-abrasive scrub brush.
5. Replace racks in the dishwasher.
6. Fill a small, dishwasher-safe bowl with white vinegar and place on the top rack.
7. Without soap, run the dishwasher at the highest temperature setting available.

Then, after performing these steps, you find that your dishwasher still has an "odor", or if mold or mildew remnants remain, immediately pour 1 cup of baking soda on the floor of your dishwasher, and run the cycle a second time at the highest temperature setting available.

If your mold/mildew problem persists, you should check the dishwasher's drain line. If it's kinked, water may be unable to drain and will pool at the bottom of your dishwasher -- a mold-breeding situation.

You should also check the food trap at the base of the dishwasher for too-large-to-drain pieces of food.
A good dishwasher will last years with proper care and maintenance. Keep yours mold- and mildew-free.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Reduce Long-Term Loan Costs With A 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage

For as low as 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates are in new york today, 15-year fixed rate mortgage rates are even lower.

According to Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey, the average 15-year fixed rate mortgage rate is now 3.27% nationwide with an accompanying 0.8 discount points. 1 discount point is a closing cost equal to 1 percent of your loan size.

The current 15-year fixed rate reading is just one tick above the all-time, 15-year fixed rate mortgage low of 3.26% set in October 2011.

If you've ever thought of "going 15", it's a terrific time to talk to your lender.

The primary benefit of using a 15-year fixed rate mortgage as opposed to a 30-year fixed rate one is that a 15-year fixed rate mortgage dramatically cuts the long-term interest costs of your loan. The downside is that monthly payments are relatively large.

At today's mortgage rates, per $100,000 borrowed :

• 15-year fixed rate mortgage : $704 principal + interest monthly
• 30-year fixed rate mortgage : $477 principal + interest monthly

So, for homeowners opting for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage, the monthly principal + interest payments will be 48% higher as compared to a 30-year fixed rate mortgage of the same loan size. Long-term, however, because the 15-year fixed rate mortgage interest rate is lower and because it pays off in half the time of a 30-year loan, a homeowner will save $45,000 in interest costs per $100,000 borrowed.

$45,000 per $100,000 borrowed is a huge amount of savings. It's monies that can be used for college tuition, home improvement projects, retirement savings, or anything else.

That said, the 15-year fixed rate mortgage is not ideal for everyone.

Because it requires higher monthly payments, a 15-year fixed rate mortgage may add stress to your household budget. Furthermore, once you commit to a 15-year loan term with your lender, you can't revert back to a 30-year loan term without a refinance and refinances can be costly.

Therefore, be sure of yourself when selecting a 15-year fixed rate loan. The rewards are great, but the risks can be, too.

Easy day today.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Simple Real Estate Definitions : Tax And Insurance Escrow

Bundle it or pay it?  You choose. Ask your mortgage banker if you can get a discount on your rate. They will be holding your money. It's your money.

As a homeowner in New York , your fiscal responsibility extends beyond just making mortgage payments. You must also pay your home's real estate taxes as they come due, as well as your homeowners insurance policy premiums.

Failure to pay real estate taxes can result in foreclosure. Failure to insure your home is a breach of your mortgage loan terms.

There are two methods by which you can pay your real estate tax and homeowners insurance bills.

The first method is to pay your taxes and insurance as the bills come due, usually semi-annually. Depending on your home's tax bill size and the cost to insure your home, these payments can feel quite large -- especially if you've failed to budget for them properly.

The second method of paying your taxes and insurance is to give your lender the right to pay them on your behalf, a process known as "escrowing for taxes and insurance".

When you escrow your real estate taxes and homeowners insurance, you pay a portion of your annual obligation to your lender each month, which your lender then holds in a special account for you, and disperses to your taxing entities and insurance company as needed. Lenders prefer that homeowners escrow taxes and insurance because, in doing so, the lender is assured that tax bills remain current and that homes stay insured.

Want a discount on your next mortgage rate? Tell your lender that you're willing to escrow.
To help calculate your monthly escrow payment to your lender, do the following :

1. Find your home's annual real estate tax bill
2. Find your home's annual homeowners insurance premium
3. Add the two figures and divide by 12 months in a year

The quotient is your monthly "escrow"; the extra payment you'll make to your lender each month along with your regularly scheduled principal + interest payment. Then, when your tax bills and insurance premiums come due, your lender will make sure the payments are made on your behalf.

If you're unsure whether escrowing is right for you, talk to your loan officer and/or financial planner. There are valid reasons to choose either path.

It can't hurt to ask!

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Fed Minutes Suggest New Economic Stimulus Next Week

The Federal Reserve could stimulate the economy with QE 3, or not. The Fed could start buying Mortgage Backed Securities? This would help lower mortgage interest rates. How low can they go? Will more buyers get aboard and feel confident to purchase a home? Questions, questions, questions.

The Unemployment Rate is decelerating, if you can believe the numbers. This may give potential home buyers the confidence to purchase. Could 2012 be the year where we see a gain in home's sold, year over year statistically?

Baby steps are happening. Most economic data is showing signs of improvement.  Lets go USA.

The Federal Open Market Committee released its November 2011 meeting minutes, revealing a Fed split on whether new stimulus is needed for the U.S. economy.

The Fed Minutes is published 8 times annually, three weeks after each scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting. It's the official record of the meeting's policy-shaping debates and dialogues.

The Fed Minutes is the lengthier companion piece to the FOMC's more well-known, post-meeting press release.

As compared to press release which is concise and focused at 492 words, the Fed Minutes is comprehensive and broad, totalling 7,682 words over 11 pages, complete with charts.

The November minutes reveal Fed opinions on a variety of economic issues :

• On employment : Unemployment will gradually decline through 2014
• On housing : The market remains depressed. Foreclosures are "holding back" growth.
• On rates : The Fed Funds Rate should remain low until mid-2013

There was also discussion about the government's revamped HARP program, and how it should help more homeowners get access to low mortgage rates. The Fed sees this as a positive for housing, and for the economy.

There was little in November's Fed Minutes to surprise Wall Street, however, the Fed did discuss the possibility of new market stimulus, a topic Wall Street expects the FOMC to address next week at its last scheduled meeting of 2011.

Should the Fed introduce new market stimulus next week, and should it arrive in the form of additional mortgage bond purchases, expect for mortgage rates to fall across new york and nationwide. If the Fed declines new stimulus, mortgage rates should rise. Or should they?

The FOMC meets Tuesday, December 13, 2012. We will see.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Using Home Generators? Here's How To Stay Safe.

I want you to be safe. We don't need any death's that could be easily prevented.  Watch the video.


Carbon monoxide is an odorless, colorless, poisonous gas. It kills, more than 400 people die in their homes each year.

Carbon monoxide poisoning is especially common during periods of power outage. This is because homeowners throughout New York fire up their personal home power generators.

Home generators are a leading cause of poisoning by carbon monoxide and, in this 4-minute from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn about home generators, how they operate, and the safety measures everyone homeowner should undertake.

A few basic home generator safety rules, as described in the interview, include :

• Never modify a generator or its engine
• Keep a 10-foot distance between the generator and your home
• Always point the generator's exhaust away from your home

Furthermore, make sure your home has an ample supply of carbon monoxide detectors, and that they're operational.

One of the video's highlights is a clever illustration employing a vase of water and a dash of red dye. The demonstration shows just how few carbon monoxide particles are required to cause injury and/or death to a person in your household.

Therefore, if you own a home generator, take 4 minutes and watch this video. Safety first is paramount to your health.

Stay safe during these cold winter months.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Home Improvement Projects : How Much Equity Will You Build?

Would you like to fix-up your home?  Make great improvements, and hope to recoup your money for your improvements. I would want to see the value go up. I know you would.

Home improvement projects are booming, expected to cross $110 billion in total volume this quarter. Unlike in recent years, however, the projects aren't helping to create much new home equity.

According to Remodeling Magazine's Cost vs Value Report 2011-2012, for each home improvement dollar spent in 2012, homeowners can expect to recoup just 58 cents in home equity.

This figure is down sharply from 2005, when the cost-to-value ratio was 87 percent.

Today's new york city homeowners get a much smaller payoff on their home improvement projects. If you're planning to remodel/update in preparation for sale, therefore, consider the following projects, each of which carries a high cost-to-value ratio.

From Remodeling Magazine's "Mid-Range Project" list :

• Steel Entry Door Replacement : Cost, $1,238; Recoup, 73.0%
• Attic Bedroom : Cost, $50,184; Recoup, 72.5%
• Minor Kitchen Remodel : Cost, $19,588; Recoup, 72.1%
• Garage Door Replacement : Cost, $1,512; Recoup, 71.9%
• Wood Deck Addition : Cost, $10,350; Recoup 70.1%

By contrast, other projects carry a low cost-to-value ratio, and should only be undertaken if the project's utility exceeds its cost. These projects don't do much to raise a home's resale value.

• Home Office Remodel : Cost, $27,963; Recoup, 42.9%
• Sunroom Addition : Cost, $34,133; Recoup, 45.9%
• Backup Power Generator : Cost, $14,760; Recoup, 47.5%
• Bathroom Addition : Cost, $140,096512; Recoup, 51.0%
• Fiberglass Entry Door Replacement : Cost, $3,536; Recoup 56.3%

In the "Upscale Projects" category, projects including the replacement of doors, siding and windows occupy the list's first 6 slots in terms of cost-to-value.

If you're planning a home improvement project over the next few months, the timing is right -- both contractor costs and material costs are low nationwide, and improving a home can extend its useful life.

See the complete Cost vs Value report online.

Good luck with your improvements, and I hope you can do better than 58%.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

New Home Supplies Fall To An 18-Month Low

The trend may be down, but nothing in the Macro picture has changed. We continue to undulate along the bottom of the housing market. Great time to buy a home. That's the bottom line.

If you plan to buy of new construction in New York sometime in 2012, don't expect today's low prices. Like everything in housing of late, the market for newly-built homes appears to be stabilizing and, in some markets, improving.

As foreshadowed by this month's strong Homebuilder Confidence survey, the Census Bureau reports that the number of new homes sold rose to a 6-month high in October, climbing to 307,000 units on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis.

A "new home" is a home that is considered new construction. It's the opposite of an "existing home".

Home buyers are comparing new construction to home resales and liking what they see. At the current sales pace, the nation's complete new home inventory would now be depleted in just 6.3 months. This marks the lowest home supply since April 2010 -- the last month of the last year's federal homebuyer tax credit.

By building only to meet new demand, builders are keeping home supplies in check, and home prices stable. They've also found a niche market -- 80% of homes sold last month sold for less than $300,000.

Split by region, the Census Bureau reports October's New Home Sales as follows :

• Northeast Region : +0.0% from September 2011 
• Midwest Region : +22.2% from September 2011 
• South Region : -9.5% from September 2011 
• West Region : -14.9% from September 2011 

Unfortunately, the data may be incorrect.

Although the October New Home Sales report says that sales climbed 1.3 percent last month, the government's data was published with a ±19.7% margin of error. This means that the actual New Home Sales reading may have been as high as +21.0 percent, or as low as -18.4 percent. Because the range of values includes both positive and negative values, the Census Bureau assigned its October data "zero confidence".

As home buyers, then, we can't take our market cues from the published data. Instead, we should look to other metrics including Housing Starts data and the aforementioned homebuilder confidence survey. Each points to strength in the new home market, and foretells higher home prices in 2012.

If you're in the market for new construction, consider writing an offer soon. Home prices remain low and mortgage rates do, too -- a combination that keeps home payments low. Next year, that may not be the case.

Til next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Maximum FHA Loan Limits Restored To $729,750

I want to thank all the Realtor's for expressing the need to keep the FHA Loan Limits intact. Here in New York City, home prices are above the national average. These higher limits are necessary to move the inventory of homes.  Without them, home buyers would need a larger down payment, and home sales would DROP.

After a brief return to lower, pre-2009 levels, FHA loan limits have been restored. As signed into law last Friday, maximum FHA loan limits are -- once again -- as high as $729,750.

The move creates additional mortgage financing possibilities in more than 650 U.S. counties, and promises to increase the FHA's mortgage market share, which has grown from 6% in 2007 to roughly 30% today.

The change in FHA loan limits also marks the first time that FHA loan limits exceed those of conventional mortgage-backers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Conventional loans remain capped at a maximum of $625,500.

For home buyers in New York City and nationwide, FHA-insured mortgage offer several advantages over comparable conventional loans, the most commonly cited of which is that FHA-insured loans require a down payment of just 3.5 percent.

FHA-insured mortgages carry other advantages, too, however.

First, FHA home loans are not subject to loan-level pricing adjustments (LLPA). This means that, all things equal, buyers and would-be refinancers with credit scores below 740; or, who live in multi-unit homes; or, who have high loan-to-values are not subject to additional loan fees as a conventional mortgage applicant might.

Second, after 6 months of on-time payments, FHA-backed homeowners are eligible for the FHA Streamline Refinance. The FHA Streamline Refinance is among the simplest loan products for which to qualify with no appraisal required. Even if you're "underwater" on your mortgage, you can still be streamline-eligible.

And, lastly, at least in today's market, FHA mortgage rates are below those of the conventional market.

The downside of FHA financing, however, is that all FHA mortgages require mortgage insurance and FHA mortgage rates are often higher versus a comparable conventional loan. This means that, although its mortgage rate may be lower, the payment for an FHA home loan may be higher as compared to a Fannie Mae mortgage with similar credit traits.

FHA loans aren't always optimal, but with higher FHA loan limits, expect the FHA's market share to increase.
Check your local FHA loan limit at the HUD website.

Thanks for listening.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Housing Starts Rising; New Construction Turns The Corner?

Yesterday I gave you the Homebuilder' report. Today I present you with
the Housing Starts. Love those STATS.

Another day, another signal that the market for newly-built homes is improving.

Single-Family Housing Starts rose to a seasonally-adjusted, annualized 430,000 units in October -- a 4 percent increase from September and the highest reading in 3 months.

A "Housing Start" is a home on which ground has been broken.
The increase in, surprised Wall Street analysts, although it shouldn't have.

Earlier this week, the National Association of Homebuilders showed that Homebuilder Confidence is at its highest point since May 2010, the effect of better market conditions and more sold units. Rising housing starts amid a lift in builder confidence is to be expected -- the two metrics have moved with loose correlation since mid-2000.

However, as with everything in real estate, Single-Family Housing Starts volume varied by location. The nation's 4 regions posted wide-ranging results :

• Northeast Region : + 10.0% from September
• Midwest Region : -4.1% from September
• South Region : +11.3% from September
• West Region : -10.2% from September

Buyers of new construction in the New York City area can infer two key points from last month's data.

First, with more homes will being built, home supply should rise, thereby softening pressure on rising home prices. This should help keep homes affordable.

However, the second point is that, with builder confidence rising, buyers are less likely to win price concessions and "free upgrades" in negotiations.

The last 6 weeks of 2011 may be your optimal time to buy new construction. Home prices remain affordable and mortgage rates are rock-bottom. In addition, because there are typically fewer active home buyers during the holidays, you'll be more likely to locate one of the few remaining new construction "deals".

Talk to your real estate agent about local trends and new construction.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Homebuilders Getting Optimistic; Higher Home Prices Ahead?

Statistically Speaking. I do a lot of that, it keeps people informed of whats happening in a certain sector or a certain market. Data is very important for many reasons. Most importantly the TRENDS.

Homebuilder confidence continues to rise.

Just two months after falling to a multi-month low, the Housing Market Index surged again in November, climbing another three points to 21. It's the second straight month that the HMI posted a 3-point gain, catapulting the index to an 18-month.

The Housing Market Index is monthly report from the National Association of Homebuilders. It's meant to measure confidence among the nation's homebuilders, scored on a scale of 1-100.

When homebuilder confidence reads 50 or better, it reflects favorable conditions for homebuilders. Readings below 50 reflect unfavorable conditions.

The Housing Market Index has not read north of 50 since April 2006.
As an index, the HMI is actually a composite reading; the result of three separate surveys sent to homebuilders each month. The National Association of Homebuilders asks it members about current single-family home sales volume; projected single-family home sales volume over the next 6 months; and current "foot traffic".

In November, builder responses were stronger in all 3 categories :

• Current Single-Family Sales : 20 (+3 from October)
• Projected Single-Family Sales : 25 (+1 from October)
• Buyer Foot Traffic : 15 (+1 from October)

And, beyond the headline data, there is an important, noteworthy item in this month's Housing Market Index.

In November, "Current Single Family Sales" climbed 3 points for the second straight month, and is now at the highest point since May 2010 -- the month after last year's home buyer tax credit expired. And, this increase in sales volume is occurring as new home construction is falling, thereby reducing home inventory nationwide.
That's an important point for New York  home buyers.

With more new home sales and fewer new home listings, prices are likely to increase into 2012. Especially with home builders predicting higher sales levels over the next 6 months, and seeing higher levels of buyer foot traffic through their properties today.

For now, though, home prices are stable and mortgage rates are low. This creates low-cost homeownership throughout New York , and helps new home construction remain affordable.

If you're in the market for new home construction, the next 60 days may prove to be your best time to get "a deal".

I would continue to follow the trends to be a smart housing consumer.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Government Releases Additional HARP Guidance For Underwater Homeowners

I am advocating for my UNDERWATER HOME OWNERS.
See if you qualify, follow the guidance.

Tuesday, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac unveiled lender instructions for the government's revamped HARP program, kick-starting a potential refinance frenzy across New York and nationwide.

HARP stands for Home Affordable Refinance Program. The updated program is meant to give "underwater homeowners" an opportunity to refinance at today's low mortgage rates.

In the two-plus years since its launch, HARP's first iteration helped fewer than 900,000 homeowners. HARP II, by contrast, is expected to reach millions.

Lenders begin taking HARP II loan applications December 1, 2011.
To apply for HARP, applicants must first meet 4 basic criteria :

1. The existing mortgage must be guaranteed by Fannie Mae or by Freddie Mac
2. The existing mortgage must have been securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac prior to June 1, 2009
3. The mortgage payment history must be perfect going back 6 months
4. The mortgage payment history may not include more than one 30-day late payment going back 12 months 

If the above criteria are met, HARP applicants will like what they see.

For HARP applicants, loan-level pricing adjustments are waived in full for loans with terms of 20 years or fewer; and maxed at 0.75 for loans with terms in excess of 20 years.

This will result in dramatically lower mortgages rates for HARP applicants -- especially those with credit scores below 740. Some applicants will find HARP mortgage rates lower than for a "traditional" conventional mortgage.
In addition, HARP applicants are exempted from the standard waiting period following a bankruptcy or foreclosure, which is 4 years and 7 years, respectively.

These two items are inclusionary and should help HARP reach a broader U.S. audience.
HARP contains exclusionary policies, too.

1. The "unlimited LTV" feature only applies to fixed rate loans or 30 years or fewer. ARMs are capped at 105% loan-to-value.
2. Applicants must be "requalified" if the proposed mortgage payment exceeds the current payment by 20%.
3. Applicants must benefit from either a lower payment, or a "more stable" product to qualify

And, of course, HARP can only be used once.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will adopt slight variations of the same HARP guidelines so make sure to check with your loan officer for the complete list of HARP eligibility requirements.

Should Fannie and Freddie be PRIVATIZED?

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Foreclosure Filings Climbing; 4 States Account For Half Of Nationwide Activity

Take notice with these statistics. It appears that the Shadow Inventory is being released, and more should come. Follow this trend and use your crystal ball. Give it 6 months to see the state of the housing market. If there isn't any improvement, we will see median home values trend lower. Fear not, eventually we will clear all this inventory. Did someone say "2020".

Let's take a look at what we got.

Foreclosed homes are a hot market throughout New York -- and supplies are ramping up.
According to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac, October's foreclosure filings rose 7 percent to 231,000 filings nationwide.

A "foreclosure filing" is any one of the following foreclosure-related events : A default notice on a home; a scheduled auction for a home; or, a bank repossession of a home. Because of this definition, a single home can account for up to 3 foreclosure filings -- one from each category.

Because of this, we may glean more relevant insight into the foreclosure market by separating RealtyTrac's foreclosure report into "event types".

• Default Notices : Up 10% from September 2011; Down 31% from October 2010.
• Scheduled Auctions : Up 8% from September 2011; Down 38% from October 2010.
• Bank Repossessions : Up 4% from September 2011; Down 27% from October 2010.

These breakdowns suggest that, although improved as compared to last year, the foreclosure market is growing. At least, it's growing in some parts of the country. We can't forget that -- like everything real estate -- foreclosures are a local phenomenon.

In October, just 4 states accounted for more than half of the country's foreclosure filings. Those four states -- California, Florida, Michigan and Illinois -- represent just 26% of the U.S. population.
Even on a per household basis, the figures remain disproportionate :

• Top 10 Foreclosure States : 1 foreclosure per 341 households, on average
• Bottom 10 Foreclosure States : 1 foreclosure per 7,434 households, on average

The nationwide foreclosure rate was 1 foreclosure per 563 households.

As a Brooklyn home buyer, foreclosures are worth watching. They account for 18% of home resales nationwide and, in some markets, can be bought at steep discounts versus a comparable "non-distressed" home. That is part of their appeal, in fact.

But just because foreclosed properties can be a "deal", it doesn't mean you should rush to buy one. Buying a foreclosed home from a bank is different from buying a non-foreclosed home from a "person". The contracts and negotiation process are different, and foreclosed homes are sometimes sold as-is.

"As-is" means "this home may have defects".

Therefore, if you plan to buy a foreclosed home, talk with a real estate professional first. You can learn a lot about the housing market online, but with respect to writing an offer on a property, you'll want an experienced agent on your side.

Distressed properties are complicated. The road is long and winding. Don't go it alone.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Using Space Heaters? Use This Safety Advice.

Safety advice you want? Safety advice you will get. Don't use them, their dangerous.  Space Heaters can kill.

The NYC Borough's are dense with people, basement apartments and attic apartments, you name it, they are packed.

Space heaters are popular among homeowners in the  populated area of the NYC Boroughs because, as portable appliances, they can heat a small space quickly and inexpensively. It requires less energy to run a space heater than to raise the temperature of an entire home by a few degrees.

However, space heaters can be dangerous, too.

In its November 2011 report, the National Fire Protection Association reveals that heating equipment was involved in an estimated 58,900 home structure fires, 480 civilian deaths, 1,520 civilian injuries and more than $1.1 billion in damage.

Space heaters caused a disproportionate percentage of the accidents :

• 79% of all home heating-related civilian deaths 
• 66% of all home heating-related civilian injuries 
• 52% of all home heating-related property damage

If you use space heaters, therefore, please remember to read (and follow) the manufacturer's instructions for proper usage, and to obey basic safety standards.

First, never place anything flammable within three feet of a space heater. Space heaters get very hot, very quickly and can ignite rugs, paper and curtains.

Next, make sure your space heater is placed on the floor, on level ground. Do not rest it on books, or on furniture.

Also, make sure to turn space heaters off when leaving a room, or when going to bed. Space heaters are not meant to replace whole-home heating and should not be left unattended under any circumstance.

The Underwriters Laboratory makes a list of general safety tips available on its website. Considering how much damage space heaters can cause, the list is worth committing to memory.

This is good nursing advice.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Banks Resume Tightening Mortgage Guidelines

Ben Bernanke is asking questions. ????

As part of its quarterly survey to member banks nationwide, the Federal Reserve asked senior loan officers whether last quarter's "prime" residential mortgage guidelines have tightened, loosened, or remained as-is.

A "prime" borrower is defined as one with a well-documented, high-performance credit history; with low debt-to-income ratios; and who chooses to finance a home via a traditional fixed-rate or adjustable-rate mortgage product.

After a 2-year easing cycle, the nation's biggest bank banks report that they've reversed course, and are raising the bar on mortgage approvals.

For the period July-September 2010, 88% of responding loan officers admitted to tightening their prime guidelines, or leaving them "basically unchanged".

If you've applied for a home loan of late, you've experienced this first-hand.

High delinquency rates and defaults since 2007 have caused the banks to rethink what they will lend, and to whom. As a result, today's mortgage lenders scrutinize assets, incomes, and credit scores to make sure that nothing "slips by".

For today's home buyers and would-be refinancers, the mortgage approval process can be challenging as compared to how it looked just 18 months ago.

• Minimum credit scores requirements are higher today
• Downpayment/equity requirements are larger today
• Debt-to-Income ratio requirements are more strict today

In other words, although mortgage rates are the lowest that they've been in history, fewer applicants can qualify. And, with more the housing market still in recovery, it's likely that guidelines will tighten again in 2012.

Therefore, if you're among the many people in Queens wondering if it's the right time to buy a home or refinance, consider that, although mortgage rates may fall, approval standards may not.

The best rate in the world won't matter if you're not eligible to lock it.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Tips For Maximizing Your Home's Appraised Value

Go the extra mile and support your Home Appraisal. It is very valuable to you,
and you want to give the best impression yo can. Don't bleed equity.

A home appraisal is an independent opinion of your home's value, performed by a licensed home appraiser. Appraisals are part of the traditional home purchase process, and lenders require them for most refinances, too.

Appraisers are trained professionals. First, they derive a base for your home's value based on the recent sales prices of homes that are comparable to yours in terms of bedrooms, bathrooms, style, and square footage.

Then, accounting for features and amenities that make your home different, the appraiser applies "adjustments" to that base value.

This methodology is called the "Sales Comparison" approach and the result is your home's appraised value.

It's the most common appraisal method used by lenders.

As a homeowner in New York City , you can't affect the sales prices of your home's comparable properties, but you can help your appraiser understand how your home stands apart from these homes. This, in turn, can affect your home's adjustments, resulting in a higher appraised value.

With home appraisals, every valuation dollar can matter. With that in mind, here are a few tips for maximizing your home's appraised value :

1. Be home for your appraisal so you can answer the appraiser's question, if there are any.
2. Mention any new roofing, flooring, HVAC, plumbing, or windows you've installed since purchase.
3. Don't mention projects or repairs you're "about to undertake". Appraisers don't credit for unfinished projects.
4. Make minor household fixes prior to the appraisal (e.g.; leaky sink, running toilet, peeling paint). 
5. Present a tidy home. This can contribute to a higher "overall condition" adjustment.

Lastly, schedule the appraisal for a time that is convenient for your entire household. An appraiser needs to see, measure, and take photos of every room in your home. If a room's door is closed because of a resting child, for example, the appraiser may need to schedule a second appointment to complete the appraisal, and that can raise your appraisal costs.

Imagine what you would want your home to look like before the Appraiser gets there. That's the idea I am trying to convey to you. Clean it up. Tidy, Tidy and Neat.

Till next time

The New York real Estate Nurse

The Most Expensive ZIP Codes In The Country (2011 Edition)

Do you live among the rich? Are you in the CODE? If not. Time to get in and spend those millions on a reduced fixer-upper. "Moving on up, to the East-side" deluxe apartment. You get the idea? Just ask George.

In the housing market, amenities and location have as much to do with a home's value as the everyday forces of supply-and-demand. Whereas the latter causes home values to rise and fall over time, the former creates a starting point for said values.

Where you live -- and the features of your home -- determine your home's price range. Naturally, homes in some areas are consistently higher-valued than homes in others.

Using data compiled by real estate market data firm Altos Research, Forbes Magazine presents America's 10 most expensive ZIP codes. California and the New York Metro area dominate the list.

1. Alpine, NJ (07620) : $4,550,000
2. Atherton, CA (94027) : $4,295,000
3. Sagaponack, NY (11962) : $3.595,000
4. Hillsborough, CA (94010) : $3,499,000
5. Beverly Hills, CA (90210) : $3,469,891
6. New York, NY (10012) : $3,392,574
7. New York, NY (10013) : $3,317,962
8. Water Mill, NY (11976) : $3,300,000
9. Montecito, CA (93108) : $3,099,348
10. Old Westbury, NY (11568) : $3,095,000

In fact, of the top 50 most expensive ZIP codes, only 6 are located outside of California and New York regions. 3 are Colorado resort towns -- Snowmass (81654), Aspen (81611) and Telluride (81435) -- one is in Maryland, one is in Florida, and the last is in Washington State.

Chicago-suburb Kenilworth (60043) is the top-ranked Midwest ZIP code. It placed 86th overall.

The Forbes list may be interesting but, to home buyers or sellers in New York , it should not be the final word in home values. Real estate is a local market which means that -- even within a given ZIP code -- prices can vary based on street and neighborhood.

Look past general data and get specific. Talk to your real estate agent for local market pricing.

Go shopping and kick those tires.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Your Home Has A Smoke Detector. Are You Sure It's Really Working?

Now is the time to check your smoke alarms and carbon monoxide alarms. Daylight Savings Time has arrived and its a reminder for us to check our smoke alarms and also time to change the batteries.

An estimated 356,000 in-home fires caused more than $7 billion in U.S. residential property damage in 2009, according to data from the United States Fire Administration.

The fires caused more than 12,000 injuries, and killed more than 2,500 people in queens and nationwide.

Unfortunately, many of affected homes did have smoke detectors -- they just weren't working properly. This is why it's critically important to test your home's smoke detectors at least once annually.

When you test a smoke detector, you're making sure that the alarm will trigger in the event of a real-life fire. A proper test will confirm that the batteries have useful life, and that the device's smoke detection components are operating as expected.

To test your smoke detector, here's what to do :

1. Make a checklist of your home's smoke detectors
2. Go to the first smoke detector
3. Ask a helper to go to the farthest point from the detector within your home
4. Press the smoke detector's testing button up to 10 seconds to activate the alarm
5. Confirm with your helper that the alarm could be heard from his/her location
6. Note on the checklist whether the smoke detector worked, or needs replacement

You can also take your test a step further.

Just because the smoke detector's alarm can be heard from the farthest point in your house doesn't mean that the alarm will sound in the event of a real fire. Therefore, you may want to buy a "smoke test".

Smoke tests are aerosol cans that simulate a bona fide in-home fire. You can buy them for less than $15 at your local hardware store, or at Amazon.com. If your smoke detector fails to sound its alarm in the presence of a "real fire", make sure you replace it right away.

I want you to feel safe and stay safe. Simple things to do.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (November 2, 2011 Edition)

They did nothing. In my opinion, they see light at the end of the tunnel. They didn't say they were purchasing any quantities of Mortgage Backed Securities. They are sticking to their dual mandate of employment and inflation. They are ready to act if needed.

Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

The vote was nearly unanimous, with just one dissenting voter. There were 3 dissenters at each of the FOMC's last two meetings.

In its press release, the Federal Reserve presented an improved outlook for the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in September, there's new evidence that the economy "strengthened somewhat" in the third quarter.

One example cited is that consumer and business spending continues to rise while inflationary pressures on the economy remain modest. This indicates controlled growth -- a plus in a recovering economy.  
The economy remains slowed by a number of factors, though, as noted by the Fed :

1. "Continuing weakness" in the labor market
2. Softness in commercial real estate
3. A "depressed" housing market

In response to mixed economic conditions, the FOMC opted to "do nothing" today; it introduced no new monetary policy, and revised none of its existing market stimulus. The Fed re-iterated its plan to leave the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent "at least until mid-2013″ and affirmed "Operation Twist" -- the program in which the Fed sells Treasury securities with a maturity of 3 years or less, and uses the proceeds to buy mortgage bonds with maturity between 6 and 30 years.

Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been negative this afternoon. Mortgage rates throughout New York are rising because analysts expected the Fed to launch new, bigger stimulus plans. It didn't. Rates may drift higher for the next few days, too.

Therefore, it today's mortgage rates fit your household budget, consider locking in a mortgage rate. Mortgage rates are very low right now, relative to history. It may not last. I tend to think they will remain low in a range.

The FOMC's next meeting -- its last scheduled meeting of the year -- is December 13, 2011.

I can only hope for economic improvement. Time will tell.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

More Risk To Home Affordability : Friday's Jobs Report

What would I do? Lock, lock and double lock your rates today. It is always better to know what you have now, than later.

Within the next 48 hours, mortgage rates may get bouncy. The Federal Open Market Committee will adjourn from a 2-day meeting and October's Non-Farm Payrolls report is due for release.

Of the two market movers, it's the Non-Farm Payrolls report that may cause the most damage. Rate shoppers across new york would do well to pay attention.

Published monthly, the "jobs report" provides sector-by-sector employment data from the month prior. It's a product of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and includes the national Unemployment Rate.

In September, the economy added 103,000 jobs, and job creation from the two months prior was shown to be higher by 99,000 jobs higher than originally reported. This was a huge improvement over the initial August release which showed zero new jobs created.

When September's jobs report was released, mortgage rates spiked. This is because of the correlation between jobs and the U.S. economy. There are a lot of economic "positives" when the U.S. workforce is growing.

1. Consumer spending increases
2. Governments start more projects
3. Businesses make more investment

Each of these items leads to additional hiring, and the cycle continues.
Wall Street expects that 90,000 jobs were created in October 2011. If the actual number of jobs created exceeds this estimate, it will be considered a positive for the economy, and mortgage rates should climb as Wall Street dumps mortgage-backed bonds in favor of equities.

Conversely, if the number of new jobs falls short of 90,000, it will be considered a disappointment, and mortgage rates should rise. There are many factors that have an effect on mortgage-backed securities. Joblessness is only one factor and there are many more. One thing for sure is that when our economy starts to thrive again, mortgage rate will rise as they have done historically.

There is a lot of risk in floating a mortgage rate today. The Federal Reserve could make a statement that drives rates higher, and Friday's job report could do the same. If you're under contract for a home or planning to refinance, eliminate your interest rate risk.

Lock your mortgage rate today. As I would.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

The Government's Revamped HARP Program For Underwater Homeowners

Here comes the neighborhood, the groundwork is being repaired.

Mr. Obama is supporting a program in effect and now we are spicing it up. Prime borrowers are the new problem. Its the people who pay on time that are now defaulting on their mortgage loans.

When mortgage rate were in the 6 plus percents, rates were considered low. People who were good earners and had good credit, bought homes. Today, they maybe out of work and find themselves struggling to make ends meet. Refinancing the mortgage would seriously help their monthly budget.

HARP is the word!

The Federal Home Finance Agency announced big changes to its Home Affordable Refinance Program Monday. More commonly called HARP, the Home Affordable Refinance Program is meant to give "underwater homeowners" opportunity to refinance.

With average, 30-year fixed rate mortgages still hovering near 4.000 percent, there are more than a million homeowners in the New York City area and nationwide who stand to benefit from the program overhaul.
To qualify for the re-released HARP program, you must meet 4 basic criteria :

1. Your existing home loan must be guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
2. Your home must be a 1- to 4-unit property
3. You must have a perfect mortgage payment history going back 6 months
4. You may not have had more than one 30-day late payment on your mortgage going back 12 months 

Most notable about the new HARP refinance program, though, is that the government is waiving loan-to-value requirements on a HARP loans. Homeowners' participation in the program  are no longer restricted by their home's appraised value. In fact, the new HARP doesn't even require an appraisal, in most instances.

With the new HARP program, underwater mortgages can be refinanced without LTV limit or penalty.
According to the government's press release, pricing considerations for the new HARP program will be released on or before November 15, 2011; and lenders are expected to be offering the program as of December 1, 2011.

If you think you may be eligible, first confirm that either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac is backing your loan. Both groups provide a simple, online lookup.

• Fannie Mae loan lookup : http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup/
• Freddie Mac loan lookup : https://ww3.freddiemac.com/corporate/

If your loan cannot be located on either of these two sites, your current mortgage is not backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and is not HARP-eligible.

The FHFA's official press release contains an FAQ section. In it, you'll find minimum qualification standards, as well as information related to condominiums and to mortgage insurance.

The HARP program is meant to help a wide group of homeowners, but each applicant's situation is unique. For specific HARP questions, be sure to talk with a loan officer.

I still see HOPE Mr. Obama. I say let people buy homes with their Retirement Accounts and forgive all penalties.

That's AMERICANA.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE: How To Change Your Doorbell

NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE: How To Change Your Doorbell: DING DONG, DING DONG. COME ON, ANSWER THE DOOR. NOBODY HOME? It is frustrating when the door bell isn't working. So replace it, its ti...

How To Change Your Doorbell

DING DONG, DING DONG.  COME ON, ANSWER THE DOOR. NOBODY HOME?
It is frustrating when the door bell isn't working. So replace it, its time.

When we move into a home, we make changes. Appliances get replaced, rooms get painted, and floors get refinished or recarpeted. Its part of how we make a home "ours".

One item we tend to skip, though, is the changing of the doorbell. In most  homes in Queens NY, the existing doorbell is "good enough".

Well, if you've ever had a mind to change your home's hard-wired doorbell system, the good news is that changing your doorbell is a simple, do-it-yourself project. Whether you want chimes, songs, or the traditional ding-dong, all you need is a screwdriver, some tape, and the new doorbell system.

This 2-minute video from Lowe's maps it out :

1. Cut the power to your doorbell from your circuit breaker
2. Unscrew the doorbell face plate
3. Replace the face plate with your new doorbell
4. Locate your in-home receiver and remove the chime system
5. Replace the chime system with your new system

The video also includes helpful tips such as how to use tape to prevent "losing" wires in your walls, and how to label your wires for faster re-wiring.

Changing a doorbell is a quick, 1-hour project. Use the video's guidance to make you don't miss a step.

Life is easy, don't call someone to repair something you can do yourself. Enough said. Go fix that doorbell.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Finding Truth In September & August's Housing Starts Report

Where do the months go? Time just fly's when your waiting for statistics to come out, and then you read into the report and you never know what your going to find.

Headlines in newspapers can be misleading -- especially with respect to housing figures. Media coverage of the most recent Housing Starts data serves as an excellent illustration.

Wednesday, the Census Bureau released its September Housing Starts report. In it, the government said that national Housing Starts rose 15 percent in September as compared to August 2011, tallying 658,000 units on a seasonally-adjusted annualized basis.

The September reading is the highest monthly reading since April 2010, the last month of last year's home buyer tax credit.

The sudden surge in starts is big news for a housing market that has struggled of late, and the press was eager to carry the story. Here is a sampling of some headlines:

• U.S. Housing Starts Rise 15%, Hit 17-Month High (MarketWatch)
• Home Building Jumps 15% in September (ABC)
• New Construction Surges In September (LA Times)

These headlines are each accurate. However, they're also misleading.

Yes, Housing Starts did surge in September, but if we remove the "5 or more units" grouping from the Census Bureau data -- the catgory that includes apartment buildings and condominium structures -- we're left with Single-Family Housing Starts and Single-Family Housing Starts rose just 1.7 percent last month.

That's a good number, but hardly a great one. And for home buyers and sellers throughout the New York City area and nationwide, it's the Single-Family Housing Starts that matter most. Individuals like you and I don't buy entire apartment buildings. Most often, we buy single-family homes. Therefore, that's the data for which we should watch.

The good news is that media tales work in both directions.

Building Permits dropped 5 percent last month when the volatile 5-unit-or-more-units category was included from the math. Isolating for single-family homes, we find that permits were unchanged.

This is good housing because 82% of homes begin construction within 60 days of permit-issuance, hinting at a steady, late-fall housing market.

The housing market should continue on it's undulating bottom. That what the statistics tell me.

Till next Time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Homebuilder Confidence Rises on Surging Sales Volume, Foot Traffic

Wow Wow we hit 18, now were cooking. Maybe we should buy Homebuilder stocks and really get rich. Don't call your Stock Broker yet.

It is a better number statistically and that's it. We have poor economic conditions to move this above the favorable threshold of 50 on the HMI.

Just one month after falling to a multi-month low, the Housing Market Index rebounded four points to 18 for October. It's the highest reading for the HMI since May 2010 -- the month after last year's homebuyer tax credit expiration.

The Housing Market Index is published monthly by the National Association of Homebuilders and is scored on a scale of 1-100. Readings above 50 indicate favorable conditions for homebuilders. Readings below 50 indicate unfavorable conditions.

The index has been below 50 since May 2006 -- a 66-month streak.

The Housing Market Index is a composite reading; the result of three separate surveys sent to home builders each month. Builders are asked about current single-family home sales volume; projected single-family home sales volume over the next 6 months; and current "foot traffic".

In October, builder responses were stronger in all 3 categories :

• Current single-family sales : 18 (+4 from September)
• Projected single-family sales : 24 (+7 from September)
• Buyer foot traffic : 14 (+3 from September)

Meanwhile, of particular interest to today's New York City home buyers is that builders expect volume to surge over the next two seasons. And, with current sales volume rising and foot traffic strengthening, the fall and winter months could be strong ones in the new homes market.

In addition, the builder trade group press release states that rising costs for materials are squeezing building profit margins.

For buyers, it all adds up higher home prices ahead. As builders grow more confident about the housing market, they're less likely to make concessions on pricing or upgrades. Rising building costs fortify that argument. The "great deal" will be tougher to negotiate.

At least mortgage rates are low.

Low mortgage rates are keeping homes affordable in New York and Nationwide. If you're looking for the right time to buy new construction, therefore, this month may be it or not.

Try not to get caught up into reading the monthly housing reports. They are flat and undulating along the so called bottom.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Foreclosure Rate Drops For The 12th Straight Month

Hip Hip Hooray, or not. Shadow Inventory has to be taken into consideration. There is a lot out there. The Robo Signing has slowed defaults. So are future numbers in Alice in Wonderland?

Only time will tell. Wait and see. What do you mean? I can't have it now. I want to know. Don't we all.

Foreclosure activity continues to slow throughout the United States.

According to data from RealtyTrac, a national foreclosure-tracking firm, the number of foreclosure filings dipped below 215,000 in September 2011, a 6 percent decrease from August.

A "foreclosure filing" is defined as any foreclosure-related action including Notice of Default, Scheduled Auction, or Bank Repossession.

September marks the 12th straight month in which foreclosure filings fell year-over-year.

There are several reasons why foreclosure filings are down, including an increase in the amount of time it takes banks to move a foreclosure through its pipeline. It now takes a nationwide average of 336 days from the date of initial default notice to bank repossession.

Some states work quicker than others, however, because of a combination of state law and personnel.
Homes in New York take an average of 986 days to foreclose, for example, the longest in the country. Homes in Texas foreclose the quickest, registering just 86 days.

As in prior months, bank repossessions remain concentrated by state. Just 6 states accounted for half of the country's REO last month:

• California : 16.6 percent
• Georgia : 8.5 percent
• Florida : 8.3 percent
• Texas : 6.2 percent
• Michigan : 6.1 percent
• Illinois : 5.2 percent

Collectively, these 6 states represent just 36 percent of the nation's population.

By contrast, the bottom 6 states were home to just 192 repossessions last month -- 0.3% of the national total. Those 6 states were Alaska, Wyoming, District of Columbia, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Vermont.

For home buyers in the New York City area , shopping for foreclosed properties can be an excellent way to get "a deal". Foreclosed homes typically sell at discounts as compared to "non-foreclosed" homes, but are often sold "as-is". This means that homes listed for sale may be defective or out-of-code.

Before placing a bid on a foreclosed home, make sure that you're represented by an experienced real estate professional. I am always available to entertain questions.

As I recall in early 2010, New York Foreclosures took about 531 days to repossess. If the above statistics are correct, we have almost doubled the time to stay in our homes without paying. What is more strategic than that?
Under-Water Home Owner's use this strategy in Judicial States.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Save Money By Preventing Water Heat Loss In Your Home

The winter season will be here before you know it. It is time to take action and reduce your cost of energy. We are all looking for a little savings where ever we can find it. Lets not waste water, our largest commodity out there.

How much energy is your home wasting on water?

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, water heating can account for 25% of a home's energy use. This is a substantial percentage, representing thousands of dollars per year in energy costs.

The good news is there are multiple ways to increase your home's energy-efficiency with respect to heated water.

The Department of Energy provides a list.

1. Reduce hot water usage : Fix leaks, install low-flow fixtures, and use high-efficiency clothes washers and dishwashers.
2. Lower the hot water temperature : 120ºF is ideal. Each 10ºF drop in temperature saves up to 5% and slows corrosion.
3. Insulate your water heater : A simple blanket wrap costs $25 and will save you up to 9% in costs
4. Insulate your water pipes : Water will be delivered 4ºF hotter which means lower energy use.
5. Install a timer : If your heater is electric, turn it off during non-peak hours such as overnight
6. Use greywater heat recovery systems : 90% of water's energy is typically lost down the drain.

Some of the above items are costly to implement, and others are inexpensive. Most can be handled without hiring a plumber, especially those items at the top of the list.

As a New York City area homeowner, take control. Apply these energy-saving, water-heating strategies and you'll not only save money each month, but you'll lengthen the useful life of your home's appliances and plumbing.

If you're in need a plumber referral, please ask.

TAKE CARE OF YOUR HOME, AS YOU WOULD YOUR BODY.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Retail Sales Expected To Rise; Mortgage Rates Should Rise, Too

I am not sure what the statistics will say, the trend is up. Talk to people on the street and the trend should be down. Consumers are still hurting from unemployment, high gasoline cost and every other commodity you need to buy. Just go shopping at your local grocery store and buy fruit, cha-ching!

Friday morning, the Census Bureau will release its Retail Sales figures for September. The report is expected to show an increase in gross receipts for the 15th straight month with analysts predicting a 0.6 percent increase from August.

The projected increase represents the largest jump in Retail Sales in six months and would likely lead mortgage rates higher for buyers in New York City and  Nationwide.

The connection between Retail Sales and mortgage rates is fairly straight-forward. Retail Sales are the majority component of "consumer spending" and consumer spending represents the majority of the U.S. economy -- up to 70 percent, by some estimates.

And, as the economy goes, so go mortgage rates.

10 months ago, mortgage rates shot forward to start the year. This is because expectations were high for a strong economic rebound. Conforming and FHA rates crossed 5 percent at the time and were headed toward six.

By mid-April, though, it was clear that economic data was falling short of predictions. As a result, mortgage rates declined, kicking off the 2011 Refi Boom. Then, by August, on ongoing economic softness, mortgage rates in New York fell further, making new all-time lows.

Expectations for a recovery have returned. Rates are now rising.

Last week's strong jobs report sparked hope for the U.S. economy and investors have been voting with their dollars. Mortgage rates are now up 7 consecutive days and Friday's Retail Sales report could cement the trend.

If you're shopping mortgage rates today, there's risk in "floating". You may want to lock your rate before Friday's Retail Sales report drives rates even higher.

The Retail Sales report will be released at 8:30 AM ET.

I always suggest you lock your rate. It may not be for everyone. Risk management is part of everyday living.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Freddie Mac : Mortgage Rates Sub-4 Percent

Mortgage rates have dropped past 4 percent.

For the first time in more than 40 years, data from Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage falling below 4 percent, dropping to 3.94 percent nationwide.

It's the lowest average 30-year fixed reading in the survey's history.

In addition, Freddie Mac shows the 15-year fixed and 5-year ARM making new all-time lows, too, falling to 3.26% and 2.96%, respectively.

It's a great time to be shopping for a mortgage or buying a home in Queens. Because mortgage rates are dropping, housing payments are dropping, too. As compared to 8 months ago, for every $100,000 borrowed, homeowners now pay $66 less principal + interest each month.

On a $300,000 mortgage, that's $71,280 saved in 30 years.

Mortgage rates have been lower for several reasons, some of which include :

• U.S. economic growth has been slower-than-expected
• Uncertainty surrounds Greece and the Eurozone
• The Federal Reserve's "Operation Twist"

In general, demand for mortgage bonds has been high and that's caused mortgage rates to fall. It should be noted, however, that although the 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell below 4 percent this week, the amount of discount points required to lock that rate rose by 10 basis points, or $100 per $100,000 borrowed.

Homeowners in New York are paying bigger fees for these lower rates. If you plan to move within a few years, these fees may wipe out your low-rate savings.

As you shop for a mortgage, pay attention to more than just rates. Low rates are great, but not when they come with high costs. Talk to your loan officer for help with making a plan than works for you.

Always shop around, check with more than 1 lender.  Run the numbers!!!

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Conforming Loan Limits Drop In High-Cost Areas

For homeowners in high-cost areas nationwide, conforming and FHA loan limits have dropped by as much as 14 percent.

Effective October 1, 2011, the temporary mortgage loan limits that allowed for non-jumbo loan sizes of up to $729,750 are no longer.

$729,750 is above the "normal" loan limit of $417,000.

The elevated limits were put in place in 2008 as the economy and financial sector entered its crisis. At the time, there was little private money to serve buyers and would-be refinancers whose loan sizes exceeded Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's maximum $417,000 loan limits.

For most people whose loan sizes exceeded that threshold, mortgage financing was unavailable. There were no lenders to back the loan size.

This was of particular importance in places such as New York City, Los Angeles and Washington, D.C. where home prices routinely top $1 million. For people in these areas, unless they had a downpayment that could lower their respective loan sizes to $417,000 or lower, mortgages were mostly unavailable.

Congress recognized this and, as a result, gave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac temportary authorization to purchase and securitize home loans of up to $729,750 in value, depending on where the subject property was located.

The program helped housing, leading Congress to pass more permanent, location-specific loan limits. Later that same year, Congress passed the Housing and Recovery Act of 2009 which, in part, made high-cost loan limit pricing permanent, albeit at $625,500.

The $729,750 temporary limits expired Friday, September 30, 2011. Today, the maximum allowable conforming loan size is $625,500.

If you live in a high-cost area, therefore, take note. Mortgage rates may be low, but the amount of loan for which you qualify may be less than you expect, and you may find yourself ineligible.

The complete list of high-cost areas is available online. The New York City area, including Nassau and Suffolk counties are part of the "High Cost Area".  We should see little improvement in sales due to this regulatory change. Buyers will have to come up with bigger down payments. That's all folks.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Fall Fix-Ups For Your Home

It's October and the fall season has officially started. For homeowners throughout New York and nationwide, the change of season is a well-timed, "preventative maintenance" reminder.

As temperatures cool, there are a handful of do-it-yourself projects you should undertake in order to keep your home in tip-top shape through the winter. This 4-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show highlights just a few of them.

Calling it a "Fall Fix-Up Checklist", The Today Show's interview is fast-paced and wide-ranging. Some of the topics covered include :

• Pick up all fallen leaves to limit damage to grass and "critter" invasions
• Unclog gutters to protect windows and foundations
• Turn off outside water sources and remove water from pipes and hoses

The home-tip video also shares how to find air leaks in your home, and how to fix them. Reducing air leaks can lower your home's heating and cooling bills by thousands of dollars annually.

Although the highlighted projects are DIYs, you may feel more comfortable hiring a professional. Know your "handyman limits", and remain safe at all times.

Stay warm or cool where ever you live. Take care of your home.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Case-Shiller Index : 85% Of Tracked Cities Showed Home Price Improvement In July

Standard  & Poor's released its monthly Case-Shiller Index this week. The Case-Shiller Index measures home price changes from month-to-month, and year-to-year, in 20 select U.S. cities. It also reports a "national" index; a composite of the values in said cities.

The most recent Case-Shiller Index shows a 0.9% rise in home values from June to July 2011. Home values were higher in 17 of the 20 tracked cities. Only Phoenix and Las Vegas fell. Denver was flat.

Also noteworthy is that, of all of the Case-Shiller cities, Detroit posted the strongest 1-year, home price improvement. As compared to July 2010, home values are higher by 1.2 percent in Detroit. This bests even Washington, D.C. -- long-believed to be the nation's healthiest housing market.

That said, we should be careful of the conclusions we draw from July's Case-Shiller Index -- both on a city-wide level, and on a national level. This is because, as with most "home price trackers", the Case-Shiller Index has flaws in its methodology.

The first Case-Shiller Index flaw is its limited scope. Although it's purported to be a "national housing index", the data that comprises the monthly Case-Schiller Index is sourced from just 20 U.S. cities. These 20 cities represent just 0.6% of the more than 3,100 municipalities nationwide.

The second Case Shiller Index flaw is that the sample sets include single-family, detached homes only. Condominiums, multi-unit homes, and new construction are specifically excluded from the Case-Shiller Index.

In some markets, "excluded" home types outnumber included ones.

And, lastly, the Case-Shiller Index is flawed in that it takes 2 months to gather data and report it. It's nearly October, yet we're still discussing the real estate market as it existing in July. For buyers and sellers in the New York City area, July in ancient history.

The Case-Shiller Index is useful for tracking long-term trends in housing, but does little to help individuals with their choices to buy or sell a home. For relevant, recent real estate data, talk to a real estate agent in your market. Real estate agents are often the best source for real-time, real estate data.

Location is the key. Know your real estate market. Call a Realtor.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

New Home Sales Figures Better Than Reported

According to the Census Bureau, the number of new homes sold slid for the fourth straight month in August, easing 2 percent from July. On a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis, home buyers bought 295,000 newly-built homes last month.

August marked the lowest new home sales tally since February. News outlets are jumping on the story, with at least one calling it a "blow" to the housing market.

That's an unfair assessment.

It's tough for the new home market to tally big sales numbers when the number of homes for sale is dwindling and, in August, that's exactly what we saw. The number of new homes for sale nationwide fell to 162,000 last month. This is the fewest number of new homes for sale since at least 1993, the first year the Census Bureau tracked such data.

In other words, using New Home Sales as a housing market gauge may be misleading. A better metric may be new home supply.

In August, new home supply edged 0.1 months higher to 6.6 months. This means that, at today's sales pace, the complete new home inventory would be sold out in 6.6 months.

It's the second-fastest reading in 2 years.

The new home market represents an interesting opportunity for home buyers in the New York City area. Builders are facing new competition from bank-owned homes and foreclosures, dragging builder confidence to all-time lows. Furthermore, builders have low expectations for the next 6 months.

As a buyer, you can use this to your advantage. Builders may be more willing to negotiate on price and finishes versus this time last year. You may find a good "deal" in new construction once you go in search of it.

Builders are eager to negotiate to move their inventory. Go make an offer.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Existing Home Sales Jump; Home Supplies Falling

Are home resales rebounding? Just trending?

According to the National Association of REALTORS®, Existing Home Sales rose 8 percent in August from the month prior, and 19 percent as compared to August of last year.

"Existing homes" are homes that are previously owned; ones that cannot be considered new construction.

A total of 5.0 million existing homes were sold last month on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis. This is slightly better than the 12-month home resale average, a statistic partially powered by "distressed sales". Distressed homes -- homes in various stages of foreclosures or sold via short sale -- accounted for 31 percent of all home resales in August.

At the current rate of sales, the national home resale inventory would be depleted in 8.5 months. This pace is a full month faster as compared to July, and the lowest home supply reading since March 2011.
Other noteworthy facts from the August Existing Home Sales report :

• There are currently 3.58 million existing homes for sale nationwide
• 29 percent of home buyers paid cash in August
• Real estate investors bought 22% of homes in August, up from 18% in July

Home prices throughout the New York City area are based on Supply and Demand and, at least right now, it appears the supply is dropping. Furthermore, with mortgage rates at all-time lows, it's reasonable to expect demand to pick up. These two conditions should lead home prices higher.

If you're shopping for a home right now, recognize the trends and work them to your advantage. It may be "cheapest" to buy now. Contact your local Realtor.

2009 was a great year to buy a home. 2011 is a great time to buy a home. Buy a home now and lock in a mortgage rate at 4% and you will never be disappointed. You will not say to yourself  " I should of waited".

This is the year, when you look back, you will say YES.

Till next time.

The New York real Estate Nurse

How To Clean Your Home Gutters

With the change of season, it's a good time to make sure your home's gutter system is clean and well-functioning.

Home gutters serve a specific purpose. By capturing and funneling rainwater away from a home "footprint" water damage to walls, windows and roofing can be minimized. A well-functioning gutter system can keep a home's basement from flooding, and a foundation safe from long-term structural damage.
Damaged or dirty gutters can lead to major home damage that may not be covered by insurance.

For homeowners in th New York City area, keeping clean gutters is essential. Luckily, with the right tools, gutter maintenance can be a do-it-yourself job.

First, gather the necessary tools. You'll need a ladder for climbing; a bucket for holding debris; a hose for flushing your gutters; and a small, scooping tool such as a trowel.
Next, carefully climb to your gutter. Using your hands, scoop large debris and place it in the bucket. Use the trowel to get to hard-to-reach places and for removing sticks and leaves. For safety, do not stretch to reach the next section of gutter.

After clearing the first gutter portion, step down from the ladder, move it to the next section of gutter, and repeat. Do this until all gutter sections are free from debris.

Next, find a garden hose with a spray attachment. Carry the hose up the ladder with you to the highest point of your gutter system -- usually opposite the downspout. With the water supply on, spray water into the gutter to flush the remaining debris.

If the water fails to drain, there's likely a clog in the downspout. Using a screwdriver, separate the downspout, find the clog, and remove it. Or, if you find standing water, adjust the slope of your gutter by removing the gutter hangers, fixing the slope, and re-attaching the hangers.

A gutter system should slope roughly one-quarter inch for every 10 feet of gutter.

Gutter maintenance is a twice a year task that you can do yourself. However, if you're uncomfortable on a ladder, or prefer to hire professionals, that's okay, too. As with everything in home maintenance, it's safety first.

Maintain your home and save money.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse