30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rates Fall To 3.78% Nationwide

MORTGAGE RATES CONTINUE TO BE INSANE!  When Crazy Eddie was selling, people were buying. New York City homes are selling. Thank you mortgage rates. People are buying.

For the fifth consecutive week, conforming 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates have dropped to new all-time lows.

According to this week's Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac, "prime" mortgage applicants willing to pay 0.8 discount points plus closing costs can secure a mortgage rate of 3.78%, on average.
This is a small improvement in rate over last week when the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate was 3.79% with 0.7 discount points.

1 discount point is equal to 1 percent of your loan size.

Like everything in real estate, though, mortgage rates are local. Freddie Mac reports that the mortgage rates available to consumers varied by region.

• Northeast Region : 3.78% with 0.7 discount points 
• West Region : 3.74% with 0.9 discount points
• Southeast Region : 3.79% with 0.7 discount points
• North Central Region : 3.83% with 0.6 discount points
• Southwest Region : 3.81% with 0.7 discount points

North Central Region residents currently pay the lowest fees and get the highest rates. For residents of the West, it's the opposite. Everywhere, however,mortgage rates are down. As compared to one year ago, today's monthly carrying cost for a conforming, 30-year fixed rate mortgage is lower by $50 per $100,000 mortgaged, or $600 per year.

A $300,000 mortgage would save $1,800 annually.

Mortgage rates have been dropping because Wall Street remains concerned for the futures of Greece, Spain, Italy and the European Union. Several European nations are at-risk for a sovereign debt default and Greece remains a threat to leave the EU. To protect against potential loss, investors have been moving money away from risky holdings toward safer ones -- a class that includes U.S. mortgage-backed bonds.
As demand for the bonds rise, prices do, too. This leads mortgage rates lower and so long as economic uncertainty remains, mortgage rates are expected to stay low.

Low mortgage rates make this a good time to buy or refinance a home. Talk to your loan officer to review your mortgage options.

Keep it simple and do the math when refinancing. Best deals are always 2 points away from where you are now.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Home Affordability Reaches New High In Q1 2012

Start the presses. Please take notice. Investors are swiping up properties at a fast rate. Foreclosures are gone in no time.

The housing market in the NY Metro area is humming along and you can't get out of the way. Price it right and bye, bye baby. Gone in a flash. Under Contract, that's the word.

Falling mortgage rates and stagnant home prices are making a positive effect on home affordability nationwide. Never before in recorded history have so many homes been affordable to households earning a moderate annual income.

Last week, the National Association of Home Builders reported the Home Opportunity Index at 77.5 -- its highest reading of all-time. The index indicates that more than 3 of every 4 homes sold last quarter were affordable to households earning the national median income of $65,000.

Last quarter marks the 12th straight quarter -- dating back to 2009 -- in which the index surpassed 70. Prior to this run, the index had never crossed 70 even once.

That said, like most real estate statistics, the Home Affordability Index has a national purview. National data is of little value to homeowners in specific cities such as New York City , or in specific neighborhoods such as Brooklyn, Queens and  Da Bronx.

Last quarter, home affordability varied by region.

In the Midwest, for example, affordability was highest. 7 of the top 10 most affordable markets nationwide were spread throughout Ohio, Michigan, Illinois and Indiana. The top two spots, however, went to an East Region town (Cumberland) and a Pacific Northwest Region city (Fairbanks, Alaska), respectively.

The top 5 most affordable cities for home buyers in Q1 2012 were:

1. Cumberland, MD (99.0%)
2. Fairbanks, AK (98.9%)
3. Wheeling, WV (97.0%)
4. Kokomo, IN (95.8%)
5. Indianapolis, IN (95.8%)

At #17, the Lakeland/Winter Haven, Florida area was the top-ranked South Region city last quarter.

By contrast, the Northeast Region and Southern California ranked among the least affordable housing markets -- again. Led by the New York-White Plains, NY-Wayne, NJ area, 8 of the 10 least affordable areas were in the Mid-Atlantic and California, and for the 16th consecutive quarter the New York Metro area was ranked "Least Affordable".

Just 31.5 percent of homes were affordable to households earning the area median income there, up from 25.2 percent six months ago.

As you see, the New York Metro area is becoming more affordable.

The rankings for all 225 metro areas are available for download on the NAHB website.

Location, location and location dictate prices and competition. Homes are selling like hotcakes fresh off the griddle here in Queens and Brooklyn. If its priced right? Its gone.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Mortgage Rates Fall Back Below 4%

Rates remain low. Go get them and remember to tell your grandchildren how low rates were back when.

You lived through the Sub Prime Mortgage Era and the Great Securitization Period. I made that up, please do not copy this phrase. Copy right is not allowable. It's mine and all mine.

After a brief run-up two weeks ago, mortgage rates are back below 4 percent. It's good news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers of Queens because with lower mortgage rates come lower mortgage payments.

According to Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the national, average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate fell to 3.99 percent this week from last week's 4.08 percent.

Last week had marked the first time since December 2011 that the benchmark rate crossed north of 4 percent -- a span of 16 weeks.

And, it wasn't just rates that got cheaper this week -- closing costs dropped, too.

Freddie Mac's survey showed that the average number of discount points to accompany a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell one-tenth of a percent this week to 0.7, where one discount point is equal to one percent of your loan size.

As a real-life example, a $200,000 Queens mortgage with an accompanying 0.7 discount points would be subject to an additional $1,400 one-time closing cost. Last week, that cost was $1,600.

Note, though, that these are average mortgage rates for the nation. On a local level, rates may be higher or lower, and so may the accompanying number of discount points.

For example, in this week's Freddie Mac survey, each U.S. region boasts its own "average rate" :

• Northeast Region : 4.00% with 0.7 discount points
• West Region : 3.94% with 0.9 discount points
• Southeast Region : 4.01% with 0.8 discount points
• North Central Region : 3.99% with 0.6 discount points
• Southwest Region : 4.02% with 0.8 discount points

These rates are each well below the average rates of a year ago when the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 4.86%.

Low mortgage rates can't last forever so if you've been wondering whether now is a good time to buy a home or refinance one; or whether rising rates will harm your monthly budget, the answer may be yes. A weak economy held mortgage rates low last year. An improving economy should push rates higher this year.

Talk to your loan officer and review your home loan options. Looking ahead to spring and summer, mortgage rates appear poised to rise.

I am not in the Mortgage business, I just write about Home Affordability.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Mortgage Rates Climb Sharply After Retail Sales Report

Home buyers need to be aware that when the economy is improving, the cost of things go up. Cost related to the home purchase also go up.

Mortgage rates are still historically low. Just beware that rising rate are seen in an improving economy.

The U.S. economy is expanding, fueled by a renewed consumer optimism and increased consumer spending.

As reported by the Census Bureau, Retail Sales in February, excluding cars and auto parts, rose 1 percent to $335 billion as 11 of 13 retail sectors showed improvement last month.

February markets the 19th time in twenty months that U.S. Retail Sales increased on a month-over-month basis.

Unfortunately, what's good for the economy may be bad for new york city home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers. Home affordability is expected to worsen as the U.S. economy improves.

The connection between Retail Sales and home affordability is indirect, but noteworthy -- especially given today's broader market conditions.

First, let's talk about affordability.

Last week, the National Association of REALTORS® released its monthly Housing Affordability Index, showing that homes are more affordable to everyday home buyers than at any time in recorded history. For buyers with median earnings buying median-priced homes, monthly payments now comprise just 12.1% of the monthly household income.

The real estate trade group considers 25% to be the benchmark for home affordability. Today's payment levels are less than half of that.

The reasons why today's homes are so affordable are three-fold :

1. Home prices remain relatively low as compared to peak pricing
2. Fixed- and adjustable-rate mortgage rates remain near all-time lows
3. Average earnings are increasing nationwide

Rising Retail Sales, however, can derail the trend. This is because Retail Sales measures consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for roughly 70 percent of the U.S. economy. As the economy expands, the forces that combined to raise home affordability so high begin to wane.

First, in a recovering economy, mortgage rates tend to rise and, throughout 2012 and 2013, home prices are expected do the same. Second, as average earnings increase, it can spur inflation which is bad for mortgage rates, too.

Home affordability is at all-time highs today. But, in part because of February's Retail Sales data, we should not expect these levels to last. Mortgage rates are higher by 1/4 percent since the Retail Sales data was released -- roughly $16 per $100,000 borrowed -- and are expected to rise more throughout the spring home purchase season.

Retail Sales are up 6 percent from a year ago. Mortgage rates are trending up. My crystal ball cannot see out any farther, always lock your loan to the great rate your getting today.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse^SM

Home Affordability Reaches An All-Time High

Home affordability moved higher last quarter, boosted by the lowest mortgage rates in history, a rise in median income, and slow-to-recover home prices throughout New York and the country.

According to the National Association of Home Builders, the quarterly Home Opportunity Index read 75.9 in 2011's fourth quarter. More than 3 in 4 homes sold between October-December 2011, in other words, were affordable to households earning the national median income of $64,200.

Never in recorded history have U.S. homes been as affordable on a national level. Even on a regional and local level, affordability soared.

Affordability was highest in the Midwest; 7 of the 10 most affordable markets nationwide were in the nation's heartland.

The Top 5 most affordable U.S. cities in Q4 2011 were:

1. Kokomo, IN (99.2% home affordability)
2. Fairbanks, AK (97.5% home affordability)
3. Cumberland, WV (96.9% home affordability)
4. Lima, OH (96.0% home affordability)
5. Rockford, IL (95.5% home affordability)

These are each considered "small markets". The most affordable "major market" was the Youngstown, Ohio area, where 95.1% of homes sold were affordable to households earning the area's local median income.

Not surprisingly, America's "least affordable cities" were regionally-concentrated, too, with 7 of the 10 least affordable markets located in either California or Texas.

San Francisco (#3), Santa Ana (#4), and Los Angeles (#5) led for the Golden State but, for the 15th consecutive quarter, the New York metropolitan area took "Least Affordable Market" honors.

Just 23 percent of homes in and around New York City were affordable to households earning the area's median income last quarter. It's a large jump from the quarter prior during which 29 percent of homes were affordable.

The rankings for all 225 metro areas are available for download on the NAHB website.

The New York city area is more affordable and at levels not seen since early 90's. Home prices are lower and mortgage rates are lower. More and more people are earning higher salaries than the median income. These are  your buyers of homes.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse