A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (November 2, 2011 Edition)

They did nothing. In my opinion, they see light at the end of the tunnel. They didn't say they were purchasing any quantities of Mortgage Backed Securities. They are sticking to their dual mandate of employment and inflation. They are ready to act if needed.

Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

The vote was nearly unanimous, with just one dissenting voter. There were 3 dissenters at each of the FOMC's last two meetings.

In its press release, the Federal Reserve presented an improved outlook for the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in September, there's new evidence that the economy "strengthened somewhat" in the third quarter.

One example cited is that consumer and business spending continues to rise while inflationary pressures on the economy remain modest. This indicates controlled growth -- a plus in a recovering economy.  
The economy remains slowed by a number of factors, though, as noted by the Fed :

1. "Continuing weakness" in the labor market
2. Softness in commercial real estate
3. A "depressed" housing market

In response to mixed economic conditions, the FOMC opted to "do nothing" today; it introduced no new monetary policy, and revised none of its existing market stimulus. The Fed re-iterated its plan to leave the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent "at least until mid-2013″ and affirmed "Operation Twist" -- the program in which the Fed sells Treasury securities with a maturity of 3 years or less, and uses the proceeds to buy mortgage bonds with maturity between 6 and 30 years.

Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been negative this afternoon. Mortgage rates throughout New York are rising because analysts expected the Fed to launch new, bigger stimulus plans. It didn't. Rates may drift higher for the next few days, too.

Therefore, it today's mortgage rates fit your household budget, consider locking in a mortgage rate. Mortgage rates are very low right now, relative to history. It may not last. I tend to think they will remain low in a range.

The FOMC's next meeting -- its last scheduled meeting of the year -- is December 13, 2011.

I can only hope for economic improvement. Time will tell.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (September 21, 2011 Edition)

Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

The vote was 7-3 -- the second straight meeting at which the FOMC adjourned with as many 3 dissenters. Prior to that last meeting, there hadn't been 3 FOMC dissenters since 1992.

In its press release, the Federal Reserve presented a dour outlook for the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in August:

1. Economic growth "remains slow"
2. Unemployment rates "remain elevated"
3. The housing sector "remains depressed"

The Fed also said that there are "significant downside risks" to the economic outlook, tied to strains in the global financial markets.
 
The news wasn't all bad, however.

The Fed noted that business investment in equipment and software continues to expand, and that inflationary pressures on the economy appear to have stabilized. The Fed then re-iterated its plan to leave the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent "at least until mid-2013". This means that Prime Rate -- the rate to which credit card rates and lines of credits are often tied -- should remain unchanged at 3.250 for at least another 2 years.
Furthermore, as expected, the Federal Reserve launched a market stimulus plan aimed at lowering long-term interest rates. The Fed will sell $400 billion in Treasury securities with a maturity of 3 years or less, and use the proceeds to buy the same with maturity between 6 and 30 years.

Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been positive this afternoon. Mortgage rates in New York are improving, but note that Wall Street sentiment can shift quickly -- especially in a market that's as uncertain as this one.

If today's mortgage rates and payments fit your household budget, consider locking in a rate. Rates can change swiftly.

The FOMC's next meeting is a 2-day affair, scheduled for November 1-2, 2011.
They are out of bullets, what's a country to do.  More QE? Maybe its time to bite the bullet and tighten everybody's belt. Let the markets adjust to the new numbers and start over at par. Then maybe we will see some economic growth.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Capitalize On Low Interest Rates In Overlooked Places

It's no secret. Rates are low right now. And, it's not just mortgage rates, either -- all types of rates are scraping rock-bottom. Borrowing rates, lending rates and savings rates are at or near their all-time lowest levels.

As a homeowner in New York City , one way to capitalize on today's low rates is to apply to refinance your home. But there are other ways to take advantage, too.

In this 5-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn of a half-dozen ways to exploit the current rate environment, including:

• Refinance a car loan from a high rate to a low rate, for cheap, in an hour
• Balance transfers between credit cards with teaser rates lasting up to 20 months
• Move some savings to an "online" bank where savings rates are higher

The interview's theme is to examine both where you're spending and saving your money, and make sure you're doing what's best for your budget.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has pledged to hold the Fed Funds Rate near 0.000% until at least 2013. So long as the Fed Funds Rate is low, there will be places you can save.

Good luck in saving your hard earned money

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse