Home Builders Experiencing Heavy Foot Traffic And Higher Sales Volume

Home Builders have confidence. Do Home Buyers have confidence?
That's the question. Can we get enough confidence to go out and buy these homes.

Some leading economic surveys are improving. Mortgage rates are low.
Banks are loosening their purse strings. Are things in the housing market heating up, or are they just flat?  Give me the answers. I want to know.

In another good sign for the housing market, today's home builders believe that the housing market has turned a corner. Whatever corner they are on. (Winslow, Arizona - "What a sight to see")

For the third straight month, the Housing Market Index -- a home builder confidence survey from the National Association of Homebuilders -- reported strong monthly gains.

December's Housing Market Index climbed 2 points to 21 in December after a downward revision to last month's results. The index is now up seven points since September 2011, and sits at a 19-month high.

When home builder confidence reads 50 or better, it reflects favorable conditions in the single-family new home market. Readings below 50 reflect unfavorable conditions.

The Housing Market Index has not crossed 50 since April 2006.

The HMI itself is actually a composite reading; the result of three related home builder surveys. The National Association of Homebuilders asks its members about their current single-family home sales volume; their projected single-family home sales volume for the next 6 months; and their current buyer "foot traffic".
The results are compiled into the single Housing Market Index tally.

In December, builder survey responses showed strength across all 3 questions :

• Current Single-Family Sales : 22 (+2 from November)
• Projected Single-Family Sales : 26 (+1 from November)
• Buyer Foot Traffic : 18 (+3 from November)

These results support the recent New Home Sales and Housing Starts data, both of which show an increase in single-family sales, and a decrease in new home housing supply.

When demand rises and supplies fall, home prices climb.

It's also noteworthy that the Housing Market Index put buyer foot traffic at newly-built homes at its highest level since May 2008. With even more buyers expected to enter the market, new home prices are expected to rise across in 2012 -- especially in the face of shrinking home supplies.

For now, though, with home prices stable and mortgage rates low, buyers can grab "a deal". 60 days forward, though, may be too late. NOT!!!

The Spring Buying Season unofficially starts February 6, 2012.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Housing Starts Show Strength In Housing

Single-Family Housing Starts continue to undulate along the bottom. Since the fall of Leman Brothers we have maintained a 400,000 - 500,000 starts range.

More kids have moved back home to live with their parents. More families are renting. Do you get the picture? Poor economic activity continues to drive down the housing market. We will see new life as things improve.

The new construction housing market continues to show strength across the country.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Single-Family Housing Starts rose to 447,000 units on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis in November -- a 2 percent increase from October.

A "Housing Start" is defined as breaking ground on new home construction.

November's figures mark the third straight month of Single-Family Housing Starts gains. The new construction metric is now 15 percent above its all-time low, set in February of this year.

None of this should be a surprise to new home buyers in New York.  Our market is improving with a good outlook for the future years to come.

Housing data has been trending better since September with sales volumes rising and home inventories falling. Basic economics tells us that home prices should soon rise.

The good news is that low mortgage rates should keep homes affordable.

Since mid-November, the average, conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgage has hovered near 4.000% nationwide with an accompanying 0.7 discount points plus closing costs. 1 discount point equals one percent of your loan size. This is down from near 4.500% six months ago, and the drop has made a big impact on home affordability.

• June 2011 : $200,000 mortgage costs $1,013.37 per month
• December 2011 : $200,000 mortgage costs $954.83 per month

This represents $700 in savings per year. It's no wonder home builders report the highest buyer foot traffic in 3 years.

Meanwhile, the market shows little signs of slowing down. Building Permits are on the rise, too.

Permits for single-family homes rose to their highest levels of year in November and 89 percent of those homes will start construction within 60 days. This means that Single-Family Housing Starts should stay strong through the early part of 2012, and into the spring.

If you're planning to buy new construction in New York , therefore, talk to your real estate agent soon and consider moving up your time frame. With mortgage rates low and next year's buying season approaching, you may find that the best "deals" will come within the next few weeks.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

How To Keep Your Dishwasher Mold- and Mildew-Free

You just bought your first home. A fixer-upper at that. Now your contemplating all the things to fix. Start with some easy things first.

Your dishwasher is a breeding ground for mold and mildew. It's warm, it's dark, and there is a bevy of decaying, organic material in the form of both food particles and soap.

Therefore, you'll want to periodically scrub and disinfect your dishwasher so that it remains it clean and healthy, and so that your dishes stay that way, too.

Here's how to clean your dishwasher :

1. Remove all racks from the dishwasher. Wash with dish-washing detergent and set aside to dry. 
2. Mix 1 part vinegar with 4 parts very hot water into a spray bottle.
3. Spray the mixture on the dishwasher seal and anywhere else you see discoloration, mold or mildew.
4. Scrub the affected areas with a non-abrasive scrub brush.
5. Replace racks in the dishwasher.
6. Fill a small, dishwasher-safe bowl with white vinegar and place on the top rack.
7. Without soap, run the dishwasher at the highest temperature setting available.

Then, after performing these steps, you find that your dishwasher still has an "odor", or if mold or mildew remnants remain, immediately pour 1 cup of baking soda on the floor of your dishwasher, and run the cycle a second time at the highest temperature setting available.

If your mold/mildew problem persists, you should check the dishwasher's drain line. If it's kinked, water may be unable to drain and will pool at the bottom of your dishwasher -- a mold-breeding situation.

You should also check the food trap at the base of the dishwasher for too-large-to-drain pieces of food.
A good dishwasher will last years with proper care and maintenance. Keep yours mold- and mildew-free.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Reduce Long-Term Loan Costs With A 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage

For as low as 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates are in new york today, 15-year fixed rate mortgage rates are even lower.

According to Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey, the average 15-year fixed rate mortgage rate is now 3.27% nationwide with an accompanying 0.8 discount points. 1 discount point is a closing cost equal to 1 percent of your loan size.

The current 15-year fixed rate reading is just one tick above the all-time, 15-year fixed rate mortgage low of 3.26% set in October 2011.

If you've ever thought of "going 15", it's a terrific time to talk to your lender.

The primary benefit of using a 15-year fixed rate mortgage as opposed to a 30-year fixed rate one is that a 15-year fixed rate mortgage dramatically cuts the long-term interest costs of your loan. The downside is that monthly payments are relatively large.

At today's mortgage rates, per $100,000 borrowed :

• 15-year fixed rate mortgage : $704 principal + interest monthly
• 30-year fixed rate mortgage : $477 principal + interest monthly

So, for homeowners opting for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage, the monthly principal + interest payments will be 48% higher as compared to a 30-year fixed rate mortgage of the same loan size. Long-term, however, because the 15-year fixed rate mortgage interest rate is lower and because it pays off in half the time of a 30-year loan, a homeowner will save $45,000 in interest costs per $100,000 borrowed.

$45,000 per $100,000 borrowed is a huge amount of savings. It's monies that can be used for college tuition, home improvement projects, retirement savings, or anything else.

That said, the 15-year fixed rate mortgage is not ideal for everyone.

Because it requires higher monthly payments, a 15-year fixed rate mortgage may add stress to your household budget. Furthermore, once you commit to a 15-year loan term with your lender, you can't revert back to a 30-year loan term without a refinance and refinances can be costly.

Therefore, be sure of yourself when selecting a 15-year fixed rate loan. The rewards are great, but the risks can be, too.

Easy day today.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Simple Real Estate Definitions : Tax And Insurance Escrow

Bundle it or pay it?  You choose. Ask your mortgage banker if you can get a discount on your rate. They will be holding your money. It's your money.

As a homeowner in New York , your fiscal responsibility extends beyond just making mortgage payments. You must also pay your home's real estate taxes as they come due, as well as your homeowners insurance policy premiums.

Failure to pay real estate taxes can result in foreclosure. Failure to insure your home is a breach of your mortgage loan terms.

There are two methods by which you can pay your real estate tax and homeowners insurance bills.

The first method is to pay your taxes and insurance as the bills come due, usually semi-annually. Depending on your home's tax bill size and the cost to insure your home, these payments can feel quite large -- especially if you've failed to budget for them properly.

The second method of paying your taxes and insurance is to give your lender the right to pay them on your behalf, a process known as "escrowing for taxes and insurance".

When you escrow your real estate taxes and homeowners insurance, you pay a portion of your annual obligation to your lender each month, which your lender then holds in a special account for you, and disperses to your taxing entities and insurance company as needed. Lenders prefer that homeowners escrow taxes and insurance because, in doing so, the lender is assured that tax bills remain current and that homes stay insured.

Want a discount on your next mortgage rate? Tell your lender that you're willing to escrow.
To help calculate your monthly escrow payment to your lender, do the following :

1. Find your home's annual real estate tax bill
2. Find your home's annual homeowners insurance premium
3. Add the two figures and divide by 12 months in a year

The quotient is your monthly "escrow"; the extra payment you'll make to your lender each month along with your regularly scheduled principal + interest payment. Then, when your tax bills and insurance premiums come due, your lender will make sure the payments are made on your behalf.

If you're unsure whether escrowing is right for you, talk to your loan officer and/or financial planner. There are valid reasons to choose either path.

It can't hurt to ask!

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Fed Minutes Suggest New Economic Stimulus Next Week

The Federal Reserve could stimulate the economy with QE 3, or not. The Fed could start buying Mortgage Backed Securities? This would help lower mortgage interest rates. How low can they go? Will more buyers get aboard and feel confident to purchase a home? Questions, questions, questions.

The Unemployment Rate is decelerating, if you can believe the numbers. This may give potential home buyers the confidence to purchase. Could 2012 be the year where we see a gain in home's sold, year over year statistically?

Baby steps are happening. Most economic data is showing signs of improvement.  Lets go USA.

The Federal Open Market Committee released its November 2011 meeting minutes, revealing a Fed split on whether new stimulus is needed for the U.S. economy.

The Fed Minutes is published 8 times annually, three weeks after each scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting. It's the official record of the meeting's policy-shaping debates and dialogues.

The Fed Minutes is the lengthier companion piece to the FOMC's more well-known, post-meeting press release.

As compared to press release which is concise and focused at 492 words, the Fed Minutes is comprehensive and broad, totalling 7,682 words over 11 pages, complete with charts.

The November minutes reveal Fed opinions on a variety of economic issues :

• On employment : Unemployment will gradually decline through 2014
• On housing : The market remains depressed. Foreclosures are "holding back" growth.
• On rates : The Fed Funds Rate should remain low until mid-2013

There was also discussion about the government's revamped HARP program, and how it should help more homeowners get access to low mortgage rates. The Fed sees this as a positive for housing, and for the economy.

There was little in November's Fed Minutes to surprise Wall Street, however, the Fed did discuss the possibility of new market stimulus, a topic Wall Street expects the FOMC to address next week at its last scheduled meeting of 2011.

Should the Fed introduce new market stimulus next week, and should it arrive in the form of additional mortgage bond purchases, expect for mortgage rates to fall across new york and nationwide. If the Fed declines new stimulus, mortgage rates should rise. Or should they?

The FOMC meets Tuesday, December 13, 2012. We will see.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Using Home Generators? Here's How To Stay Safe.

I want you to be safe. We don't need any death's that could be easily prevented.  Watch the video.


Carbon monoxide is an odorless, colorless, poisonous gas. It kills, more than 400 people die in their homes each year.

Carbon monoxide poisoning is especially common during periods of power outage. This is because homeowners throughout New York fire up their personal home power generators.

Home generators are a leading cause of poisoning by carbon monoxide and, in this 4-minute from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn about home generators, how they operate, and the safety measures everyone homeowner should undertake.

A few basic home generator safety rules, as described in the interview, include :

• Never modify a generator or its engine
• Keep a 10-foot distance between the generator and your home
• Always point the generator's exhaust away from your home

Furthermore, make sure your home has an ample supply of carbon monoxide detectors, and that they're operational.

One of the video's highlights is a clever illustration employing a vase of water and a dash of red dye. The demonstration shows just how few carbon monoxide particles are required to cause injury and/or death to a person in your household.

Therefore, if you own a home generator, take 4 minutes and watch this video. Safety first is paramount to your health.

Stay safe during these cold winter months.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Home Improvement Projects : How Much Equity Will You Build?

Would you like to fix-up your home?  Make great improvements, and hope to recoup your money for your improvements. I would want to see the value go up. I know you would.

Home improvement projects are booming, expected to cross $110 billion in total volume this quarter. Unlike in recent years, however, the projects aren't helping to create much new home equity.

According to Remodeling Magazine's Cost vs Value Report 2011-2012, for each home improvement dollar spent in 2012, homeowners can expect to recoup just 58 cents in home equity.

This figure is down sharply from 2005, when the cost-to-value ratio was 87 percent.

Today's new york city homeowners get a much smaller payoff on their home improvement projects. If you're planning to remodel/update in preparation for sale, therefore, consider the following projects, each of which carries a high cost-to-value ratio.

From Remodeling Magazine's "Mid-Range Project" list :

• Steel Entry Door Replacement : Cost, $1,238; Recoup, 73.0%
• Attic Bedroom : Cost, $50,184; Recoup, 72.5%
• Minor Kitchen Remodel : Cost, $19,588; Recoup, 72.1%
• Garage Door Replacement : Cost, $1,512; Recoup, 71.9%
• Wood Deck Addition : Cost, $10,350; Recoup 70.1%

By contrast, other projects carry a low cost-to-value ratio, and should only be undertaken if the project's utility exceeds its cost. These projects don't do much to raise a home's resale value.

• Home Office Remodel : Cost, $27,963; Recoup, 42.9%
• Sunroom Addition : Cost, $34,133; Recoup, 45.9%
• Backup Power Generator : Cost, $14,760; Recoup, 47.5%
• Bathroom Addition : Cost, $140,096512; Recoup, 51.0%
• Fiberglass Entry Door Replacement : Cost, $3,536; Recoup 56.3%

In the "Upscale Projects" category, projects including the replacement of doors, siding and windows occupy the list's first 6 slots in terms of cost-to-value.

If you're planning a home improvement project over the next few months, the timing is right -- both contractor costs and material costs are low nationwide, and improving a home can extend its useful life.

See the complete Cost vs Value report online.

Good luck with your improvements, and I hope you can do better than 58%.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse