New Home Sales Slip In February

How can I spin these statistics? Undulating trend, which is nothing new for the housing market. Five years from now you are going to wish you bought your home in 2009, 2011, or 2012.

I am not a big fan of the Census Bureau or the Labor Department.
They derive statistics the way my mother's old wash machine worked, she had to spin the blank out of it. Then the media jumps on it and gives it one more ride.

ANYWAYS, LETS GET TO THE PUDDING.

Sales of "new homes" fell to the lowest levels in four months last month.

According to the Census Bureau's monthly New Home Sales report, 313,000 new homes were sold in February 2012 on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis, representing a 1.6% drop from the month prior.

A "new home" is a home for which there has been no prior owner nor tenant.

At first glance, the data looks negative for the housing market; a suggestion that the well-publicized housing market recovery may be slowed. However, within February's New Home Sales report are three important counter-statistics worth mentioning.

First, although annualized home sales volume slipped 5,000 units in February, this occurred as the number of homes for sale nationwide remained constant at 150,000. This is the fewest number of new homes for sale since at least 1993 -- the first year that the Census Bureau tracked such data.

A small home supply promotes rising home values when buyer demand is rising and, in February, buyer demand held firm.

A second reason to remain optimistic on housing is that New Home Supply was 5.8 months in February. This means that, at the current pace of sales, the entire new home inventory will be "sold out" in 5.8 months.
Housing experts say that when home supplies fall below 6.0 months, it's bullish for housing.

And, as a third reason to look past the New Home Sales headline figure, last month's reporting Margin of Error was huge.

According to the government, the February New Home Sales data was published with a ±23.9% margin of error. This means that the actual New Home Sales sales volume may have dropped as much as -25.5%, or may have climbed by as much as +22.3%.

Because the range of possible values includes both positive and negative numbers, the Census Bureau assigned its February data the "zero confidence" label.

It will be several months before February's New Home Sales data is revised. Until then, buyers in New York City would do well to take cues from the real estate market-at-large which shows steady, gradual improvement.

If your 2012 housing plans call for buying new construction, consider using February's results as a window to "make a deal". As the year progresses, great values in housing may be gone for good.

Good for what?

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

How To Replace Cracked, Dirty Grout

Tile is among the most versatile home surfacing materials. It can be as functional and good-looking on your home's walls as it can be on counter tops, adding a polished look to your kitchen or bathrooms.

Tile is also easy-to-clean -- so long as it's well-maintained.

Proper tile cleaning is more than just a daily wipe-down. Cleaning tile requires a periodic resealing of the tiles themselves, as well as a re-grout for when the existing grout cracks, or stains.

Replacing grout is a job that's low on skill but large on elbow grease. You can hire it out to a handyperson in new york city , or you can handle it in-home. If you choose to replace your own grout, here are the steps you'll want to follow.

First, you'll need some tools :

• Hammer and screwdriver
• Grout scraper
• Putty knife
• Damp sponge
• Dry cloths
• Grout
• Grout sealer

Start by using your screwdriver to loosen bits of the damaged and/or dirty grout. Tap the screwdriver with the hammer gently to avoid scratching your tile. Once you've loosened the grout, use the grout scraper to remove the remnants.

Next, pour new grout into the crevices between the tiles and smooth it into place using the putty knife. The motion is similar to that of buttering a slice of bread. Scrape up the excess grout as you work. Continue spreading the grout until you've finished a several-foot section.

Before the grout has dried, use a damp sponge to wipe the tiles clean and neaten the grout lines. You can also use your finger to smooth and remove excess grout from between the tiles.

Repeat the grouting and cleaning process until all of the grout has been replaced. Allow the grout to dry for the length of time recommended by the manufacturer.

Next, using the dry cloths, buff the tiles, using a forceful, circular motion to remove any remaining grout residue.

Then, as a final step, for long-lasting protection, seal the grout using a commercial grout sealer from a hardware store.

Keeping grout in good condition does more than just make your kitchen or bathrooms look great -- it protects the surfaces beneath the tile, too. Re-grouting tile is a basic home improvement task that can pay for itself many times over.

When inspecting a home before purchase always think of the easy renovations you can do yourself. Save money doing it yourself. These are easy projects to do yourself.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Existing Home Sales Stay Strong; Spring Season Underway

Resold home are moving, and moving. Prices are lower and that's a good thing for buyers. Home affordability is what it is all about. Jump on the train, don't get stuck at the station

Despite sparse home inventory, the National Association of REALTORS® reports that 4.59 million existing homes were sold in February on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis. An "existing home" is a home that cannot be classified as new construction.

Last month's sales data represents a 9 percent improvement from the year prior.

There are now just 2.43 million homes for sale nationwide -- a 19% reduction versus a year ago. The complete home inventory would "sell out" in 6.4 months at the current sales pace.

Some analysts believe that a 6-month home supply indicates a housing market in balance.

The real estate trade group's report contained other noteworthy statistics, too :

1. 32 percent of home sales were made to first-time buyers
2. 33 percent of home sales were made with cash (i.e. no mortgage)
3. 34 percent of home sales were of foreclosed homes or homes in short sale

In addition, nearly one-third of all home sales "failed" last month, the result of homes not appraising at the purchase price; or, the buyer's inability to secure mortgage financing; or, insurmountable home inspection issues.

Even accounting for last month's high contract failure rate,though,  the Existing Home Sales report still posted its second-highest reading since May 2010. For today's new york city home buyer, the data may be a "buy signal".

As compared to last fall, home supplies are down and home sales are up. Basic economics tell us that home prices should start to rise shortly -- if they haven't already. After all, the Existing Home Sales data is 30 days old, reporting on February. It's nearly April today.

The good news is that homes remain affordable. With conforming and FHA mortgage rates in the low-4 percent range, home affordability is at its highest in history. Home prices may rise this spring, but at least your mortgage payment should remain low.

Follow the trend because its your friend. Remember, all homes sales occur in a location and all locations are not the same. Their are signs of improvement and they could be in your neighborhood.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Loans For Underwater Homeowners : HARP 2.0 Now Available

The new, revamped HARP program is now available in New York and  nationwide. It was officially released Saturday, March 17, 2012 by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.


HARP is an acronym. It stands for Home Affordable Refinance Program. HARP is the conforming mortgage loan product meant for "underwater homeowners". Under the HARP program, homeowners in Queens can get access to today's low mortgage rates despite having little or no equity whatsoever.

HARP is expected to reach up to 6 million U.S. homeowners who would otherwise be unable to refinance.

HARP is not a new program. It was originally launched in 2009.  However, the program's first iteration reached fewer than 1 million U.S. households because loan risks were high for banks, and loan costs were high for consumers.

With HARP's re-release -- dubbed HARP 2.0 -- the government removed many of HARP's hurdles.

In order to qualify for HARP, homeowners must first meet 3 qualifying criteria.

First, their current mortgage must be backed either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Loans backed by the FHA or VA are ineligible, as are loans backed by private entities. This means jumbo loans and most loans from community banks cannot be refinanced via HARP.

• To check if your loan is Fannie Mae-backed, click here.
• To check if your loan is Freddie Mac-backed, click here.

The second qualification standard for HARP is that all loans to be refinanced must have been securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac prior to June 1, 2009. Mortgages securitized on, or after, June 1, 2009 are HARP-ineligible.

There are no exceptions to this rule.

And, lastly, the third HARP qualification standard is that the existing mortgage must be accompanied by a strong repayment history. Homeowners must have made the last 6 mortgage payments on-time, and may not have had more than one 30-day late within the last 12 months.

If the above three qualifiers are met, HARP applicants in New York will find mortgage guidelines lenient overall :

• Refinancing into a fixed rate mortgage allows for unlimited loan-to-value
• The standard 7-year "waiting period" after a foreclosure is waived in full
• Except in rare cases, home appraisals aren't required for HARP

Furthermore, HARP mortgage rates are on par with non-HARP rates. This means that HARP applicants get access to the same mortgage rates and loan fees as non-HARP applicants. There's no "penalty" for using HARP.

To apply for HARP, check with your loan officer today.

Till next time

THE NEW YORK REAL ESTATE NURSE^sm  

Mortgage Rates Climb Sharply After Retail Sales Report

Home buyers need to be aware that when the economy is improving, the cost of things go up. Cost related to the home purchase also go up.

Mortgage rates are still historically low. Just beware that rising rate are seen in an improving economy.

The U.S. economy is expanding, fueled by a renewed consumer optimism and increased consumer spending.

As reported by the Census Bureau, Retail Sales in February, excluding cars and auto parts, rose 1 percent to $335 billion as 11 of 13 retail sectors showed improvement last month.

February markets the 19th time in twenty months that U.S. Retail Sales increased on a month-over-month basis.

Unfortunately, what's good for the economy may be bad for new york city home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers. Home affordability is expected to worsen as the U.S. economy improves.

The connection between Retail Sales and home affordability is indirect, but noteworthy -- especially given today's broader market conditions.

First, let's talk about affordability.

Last week, the National Association of REALTORS® released its monthly Housing Affordability Index, showing that homes are more affordable to everyday home buyers than at any time in recorded history. For buyers with median earnings buying median-priced homes, monthly payments now comprise just 12.1% of the monthly household income.

The real estate trade group considers 25% to be the benchmark for home affordability. Today's payment levels are less than half of that.

The reasons why today's homes are so affordable are three-fold :

1. Home prices remain relatively low as compared to peak pricing
2. Fixed- and adjustable-rate mortgage rates remain near all-time lows
3. Average earnings are increasing nationwide

Rising Retail Sales, however, can derail the trend. This is because Retail Sales measures consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for roughly 70 percent of the U.S. economy. As the economy expands, the forces that combined to raise home affordability so high begin to wane.

First, in a recovering economy, mortgage rates tend to rise and, throughout 2012 and 2013, home prices are expected do the same. Second, as average earnings increase, it can spur inflation which is bad for mortgage rates, too.

Home affordability is at all-time highs today. But, in part because of February's Retail Sales data, we should not expect these levels to last. Mortgage rates are higher by 1/4 percent since the Retail Sales data was released -- roughly $16 per $100,000 borrowed -- and are expected to rise more throughout the spring home purchase season.

Retail Sales are up 6 percent from a year ago. Mortgage rates are trending up. My crystal ball cannot see out any farther, always lock your loan to the great rate your getting today.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse^SM

How To Remove Soap Scum From Shower Doors

Dirty shower doors can ruin an otherwise sparkling-clean bathroom. The soap scum that accumulates isn't just unsightly; it contains body oils and skin particles that provide for a perfect bacteria breeding ground.

Supermarket shelves in the New York City area are filled with bathroom cleaners that promise to cut through soap scum, but the cleansers don't always work and those that do often contain harsh chemicals that can irritate your skin.

Cleaning shower doors can be more safe and more pleasant, then, when you use chemical-free household products, many of which you likely have in your kitchen already.

White vinegar makes an excellent soap scum remover, for example.

To remove soap scum from your shower doors using white vinegar, pour non-diluted white vinegar into a spray bottle, and then spray your shower doors until the soap-scummy sections are completely saturated. Let the vinegar sit for several minutes. This allows the white vinegar time begin breaking down the soap scum.
Spritz the surface again, if necessary, to keep the surface wet.

After the white vinegar has had some time to work, wipe the soap scum away with a non-scratching sponge.

If the soap scum is particularly stubborn, cutting through it completely may require a mild abrasive.

After letting the vinegar soak for several minutes, sprinkle baking powder on your sponge and remove the soap scum using a moderate amount of pressure and small circular motions. If your shower doors are textured, you may need to switch to a scrub brush to get into the crevasses.

Reapply baking soda and re-spritz the doors with vinegar as needed to remove the soap scum completely. Then, just rinse away the residue with hot water.

Give the shower floor a final rinse after the residue drains.

No economic stats. today, rents are up and going up. Buy today!!!

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

FHA Drops Upfront Mortgage Insurance Premium To 0.01% For Qualified Borrowers

The FHA is making more changes to its flagship FHA Streamline Refinance program.

Beginning mid-June 2012, certain current, FHA-backed homeowners will be able to refinance their existing FHA mortgage into a new one, without having to pay the government-backed group's new, costly mortgage insurance premium schedule.

Earlier this week, the FHA rolled out its new MIP schedule.

Beginning April 9, 2012, new FHA mortgages are subject to a 1.75% upfront mortgage insurance premium (UFMIP) and an annual mortgage insurance premium of up to 1.25% for loan sizes up to, and including, $625,500; or 1.60% for loan sizes exceeding $625,500.

Upfront MIP is typically added to the loan size as a lump sum. Annual MIP is paid via 12 monthly installments. Both add to the long-term costs of home-ownership.

However, the FHA's new MIP schedules will not apply to all FHA-backed homeowners equally. Homeowners whose FHA mortgages were endorsed prior to June 1, 2009 will benefit from a different, less costly MIP schedule.

For these homeowners in search of a streamline, the MIP schedule is as follows :

• Upfront MIP : 0.01% of the loan size
• Annual MIP : 0.55% of the loan size, with no adjuster for loan sizes over $625,500

The new schedule is detailed in FHA Mortgagee Letter 12-04 and it lowers the cost of FHA Streamline. Refinancing for long-time, FHA-backed households in New York and nationwide to almost nothing.

As a real-life example, an FHA-backed homeowner whose $100,000 mortgage dates to 2008 could refinance via the FHA Streamline Refinance program and pay just $10 in upfront MIP, with a corresponding annual MIP payment of just $550, or $45.83 monthly.

By comparison, every other FHA-backed homeowner with a $100,000 mortgage pays $1,750 in UFMIP and as much as $1,600 in annual MIP.

The new streamline refinance MIP schedule is in effect for FHA mortgage applications with case numbers assigned on, or after, June 11, 2012. It is not available for loan applications made prior to that date.

There are lots of dates and deadlines in the FHA's new streamline program. If you're too early -- or too late --  you could miss your optimal refinance window. Talk with your loan officer, therefore, and put a plan in place. You'll be glad to be prepared.

Just trying to save you money.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

Home Affordability Reaches An All-Time High

Home affordability moved higher last quarter, boosted by the lowest mortgage rates in history, a rise in median income, and slow-to-recover home prices throughout New York and the country.

According to the National Association of Home Builders, the quarterly Home Opportunity Index read 75.9 in 2011's fourth quarter. More than 3 in 4 homes sold between October-December 2011, in other words, were affordable to households earning the national median income of $64,200.

Never in recorded history have U.S. homes been as affordable on a national level. Even on a regional and local level, affordability soared.

Affordability was highest in the Midwest; 7 of the 10 most affordable markets nationwide were in the nation's heartland.

The Top 5 most affordable U.S. cities in Q4 2011 were:

1. Kokomo, IN (99.2% home affordability)
2. Fairbanks, AK (97.5% home affordability)
3. Cumberland, WV (96.9% home affordability)
4. Lima, OH (96.0% home affordability)
5. Rockford, IL (95.5% home affordability)

These are each considered "small markets". The most affordable "major market" was the Youngstown, Ohio area, where 95.1% of homes sold were affordable to households earning the area's local median income.

Not surprisingly, America's "least affordable cities" were regionally-concentrated, too, with 7 of the 10 least affordable markets located in either California or Texas.

San Francisco (#3), Santa Ana (#4), and Los Angeles (#5) led for the Golden State but, for the 15th consecutive quarter, the New York metropolitan area took "Least Affordable Market" honors.

Just 23 percent of homes in and around New York City were affordable to households earning the area's median income last quarter. It's a large jump from the quarter prior during which 29 percent of homes were affordable.

The rankings for all 225 metro areas are available for download on the NAHB website.

The New York city area is more affordable and at levels not seen since early 90's. Home prices are lower and mortgage rates are lower. More and more people are earning higher salaries than the median income. These are  your buyers of homes.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse

New Home Supply Falls To 5.6 Months

Government statistics show that New Household Creations will swell to 1,000,000 families per year.

The new construction market should roll on. Their is enough homes on the market to supply these new household creations for this year. The distressed properties are their best buy. The future families will have to pay a higher price.

As foreshadowed by February's Homebuilder Confidence survey, which rose to a 4-year high, the Census Bureau reports new homes are selling more quickly than builders have built them, lowering the national "home supply" to levels not seen since 2006.

A "new home" is a home that is considered new construction and, at the current pace of sales, the nation's entire new home inventory of 151,000 homes would be sold in 5.6 months.

Anything less than 6.0-month supply is thought to connote a "sellers' market".
321,000 new homes were sold last month on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis. 7 of 10 new homes sold for less than $300,000.

The South Region continues to account for the majority of new construction sales, posting a 59% market share in January. South Region sales were up 9 percent as compared to December. The other 3 regions turned in mixed results.

• Northeast Region : +11.1% from December 2011 
• Midwest Region : -24.5% from December 2011 
• West Region : -10.6% from December 2011 

Unfortunately, the Census Bureau's New Home Sales data could be wrong.

Although New Home Sales were said to fall by about one percent nationally from December to January, the government's monthly report was footnoted with a ±16.6% margin of error. This means that the actual New Home Sales reading may have been as high as +15%, or as low as -18%.

Because the range of values includes positive and negative values, the January New Home Sales data is of "zero confidence". However, that's not to say that it should be ignored. The aforementioned homebuilder confidence survey shows builders optimistic for the future, and a bevy of home sale data since October 2011 suggests a market in recovery.

If you're in the market for new construction in the New York City area , consider going into contract sooner rather than later. Home prices remain low and mortgage rates do, too -- a terrific combination for today's buyers.

In a few months, the landscape may look different. The Government keeps rolling out new programs to unleash the Shadow Inventory. Their coming, you will see them soon.

Till next time

The New York Real Estate Nurse